Sinexizoun to xalva tous sti Bwin:
Ελληνικές Βουλευτικές Εκλογές, Ελλάδα
Ελληνικές Εκλογές 2009 - 7:00 πμ 7
Νικητής εκλογών (Χάντικαπ)
ΠΑΣΟΚ +0,5% 4.75
ΚΚΕ +30,5% 4.75
ΛΑΟΣ +32,5 % 4.75
ΣΥΡΙΖΑ +35% 4.75
Οικολόγοι Πράσινοι +37,5% 4.75
Νέα Δημοκρατία +6,75% 4.75
Se afto to NEO handicap market (to allo pou eixa ti ND, diaferei mono sto handicap pou pairnei i ND, alla kai pali einai ALLO market), tha paiksw 3 units Pasok kai alla 3 units ND.
Pontarw pali sto gamimeno to dikommatismo, ti na kanoume??? De mporw na pistepsw oti i simmetoxi edw de tha sprwksei to Pasok toulaxiston sto 40%. Milame oti to 41.5% den einai katholou makria, den einai evlwekloges. Kai i ND tha anevei logika 2-3 monades toulaxiston apo tis evrwekloges. Me 40% to pasok, kai pali de vlepeis elida sto handicap kanenos allou plin ND. Me 41%, apla asto. Diladi me 40%, thelei 10.01% to kke gia na perasei (no chance), 8.01% o LAOS (to thewrw peripou adinato, alla as poume oti exei mia mikri pithanotita na mas kanei tetoia kideia), 5.51% to Siriza, pou den prokiptei apo pouthena, kai 3% oi Prasinoi, pou pali einai sxedon adinato.
KAI afto to handicap moiazei na einai metaksi pasok-nd. I ND exei 6.25% avantzo, kai kapou ekei konta tha einai i diafora. Pantws klinw pros ND edw, alla den prokeitai na katsw na dialeksw, afou tin exw idi se paromoio bet sto +7. Vazw max kai ta dio kai an de vgoun oute afta, eimai gia na paratisw to stoixima teleiws...
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1 unit sto 2.40 tis Bettson gia to over tou Ol.Volou-Ilioupoli. De mporeis na stiseis anatropi xwris na ginei over...
Pantws exei pithanotites kai apo mono tou.
Mon.
3 units sto KKE under 8.5% 1.80, Bettson. Den einai oti to exw gia toso isxiro bet oso alla. Apla kanonika gia 3 units einai kai pali, asxeta pou to handicap px pio panw einai gia 50 units. Exoume orio 3, kai ok, afto to bet exei iparkti pithanotita na xasei, alla de dinw panw apo 35% pithanotita. Me 65% na vgei, dinei 17% value kai afto einai gia trimpalo. Akoma kai 60% na exei na vgei, pali einai 8% value. De mporw na fantastw oti i pithanotita einai katw apo toso. Einai iparkti ok, alla proswpika an evgaza apodoseis tha to thewrousa peripou 75% to under, toulaxiston. As sevastw oti isws kseroun kati, alla apla de mporei na exei 40% pithanotita na paei kalitera apo Evrwekloges, me Pasok na pigainei gia kivernisi.
Mon.
Apo Bwin: Teliko apotelesma (akrives score) na kerdisei to Pasok 5-6.49%. 3 units sto 2.75.
Episis edw den exei kamia vevaiotita to bet. An poume oti exei 40% na vgei toso, einai 10% value, opote logw xamilis pithanotitas na vgei, isws dikaiologei pio konta sta 2-2.5 units. To provlima einai omws oti diskola na min exei toulaxiston 50% na vgei afto to bet, ara to value ginetai astronomiko (37.5% an valeis pithanotita na vgei 50%), ara de mporw pali na apofigw to trimpalo. Ti stigmi pou ta handicap allou dinoun 5% (bettson), allou 5.5% (Expekt), allou 6.25% (bwin) kai nomizw kapou allou eida kai 6% (isws na itan bettson kai na to allakse apo to 5% pou eixe prin, de thimamai), simainei oti de mporeis na dwseis panw apo 30% gia to ov 6.5% diafora. Episis de mporw na dwsw kai panw apo 35% gia to under 5% diafora (alla afto enperiexei kai apopsi panw stin agora, an to paroume afstira me ta noumera kai tous mesous orous, einai peripou antistrofes oi ektimiseis: px 25-30% gia to under 5% kai 20-25% gia to ov 6.5% diafora).
Afta ola ta noumera pantws einai arketoutsika sintiritika. An evgaza apodoseis, tha elega oti to 5-6.5 monades diafora exei peripou 55% na erthei. Estw kai etsi, eksairetika pithano na min erthei, alla me tetoio value kai toso margin for error, to paso pethane.
Mon.
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