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10 σχόλια:
1 unit stin Pae Puma Nea Kavala 3.86 (pinbet) na kerdisei mesa sti gria, i opoia kai peftei katigoria fetos, you heard it here first.
Mon.
1.5 unit ston Kompoti na mi xasei +,5 goals handicap) sto 2.10 tis Canbet.
0.5 units sto 5.40 tis BF gia niki.
1 unit ston Ergo +1 goal 1.88 stin Pinbet.
0.5 units sto 8.00 na kerdisei.
O gavros deixnei se forma, o telis nteforme, alla oi omades einai para poli konta gia na dwsoume 1 goal olokliro sto gavro. Pou exei kai CL tin Triti. Eipame, alla oxi ki etsi. O gavros edine panw apo 2.00 sto xarilaou kai mesa ston teli na dinei 1.50? Ipervoli. Tha nikisei vevaia, alla eipame...
Mon.
2.4 units sto Paniwnios-Zela over 2.25 1.92.
1.5 units sto Paniwnios +1 goal 2.03.
Profanws ta dio stoiximata kaliptoun to ena to allo.
Poli diskolo na vgoun kai ta dio mazi, enw an erthei px zela0-2, xanw to ena kai xanw to miso sto allo. Omoiws an erthei 2-2 kerdizw kai ta dio vevaia.
Apla i apodosi anoikse opou anoikse, peripou swsta, alla logw tis nikis tou Paok kai tis diafainomenis tou gavrou kai tis emfanisis sti Romi, o kosmos ksefige ligo kai paizei averta to Vazelo. Ok itan peripou +0.75 stin idia apodosi o Paniwnios, de vlepw to logo na paei 1/4 goal panw to line, to parakanan. An mi ti allo, stin praksi, otan ta dineis ola se ena tetoio evrapaiko, meiwnontai oi elpides sou gia tin Ellada. O Tsakiris exei olokliri manoura me to Vazelo. Genika o Paniwnios itan panta etsi me tous 3 'megalous
'. Kai prepei kai na swthei, kai ekane kai epitelous niki, ara allazei i psixologia. O diaititis einai arrwstos Tourkos. Epoptes, tetartoi, ta panta ola, apo panw. Sto mpla-mpla, oloi perimenoun na arxisei na stinei o vazelos, stin praksi den estise oute ton kollito tou ton agapoula. Diskolo me 5 atoma mesa na sinnenoithoun na stisoun allwste. O pavlos sto basket perasan xronia, mexri na erthoun oi idioi oi diaitites panw tou gia na stithoun. Kai eixe kai mpaltako, delimpaltadaki kai ta resta. Sti mpala poion exoun? Ton Antoniou? En pasei periptwsei, mporei na kerdisoun, leipoun Omo, Kastelione, Latka kai etsi ki alliw einai mpourdelo amintika o Paniwnios kai omadara mprosta o Vazelos. Alla prepei na eisai zwo gia na paizeis to diplo edw, an vlepeis niki tou Vazelou, paikse to over. Kapoies fores de tha sou vgei, alla sti souma ta mathimatika einai poli iper sou.
Epeidi leme 'me toses elleipseis, logika tha xasei efkola o Paniwnios', de simainei oti i apodosi mporei na pigainei opou na'nai kai na min kontraroume pote. An einai na paei kai 1.20 o vazelos...
Akoma kai i Man U, oi pio polles nies tis, me ena goal einai. Eipame, allo styl omada o vazelos, otan kerdizei, einai pio efkolo na ginei me polla, alla den pavei to pithanotero apotelesma na einai niki tou favori me ena akrivws goal. As einai 1-2 lew egw. Se teliki analisi kai o Paniwnios mporei na kerdisei, i na ferei x. Gia poio logo afto prepei na ginei me 1-0 i me 0-0??? I adinamia tou vazelou i amina einai, apo pote egine i epithesi? Entaksei, oloi pisw na paroume vathmo, alla de simainei oti opoia omada kai an to kanei kai kontra se opoia omada kai an to kanei, paei 0-0 to score...Pithano senario, alla sti soume o sindiasmos twn dio stoiximatwn einai poli kalos.
Mon.
0.8 units Senegali 5.35 (pinbet). 1.7 units Senegal +.5 2.12 (pinbet).
Mon.
1.4 units gria +0.75 goals 2.08 (pinny).
0.5 units gria na kerdisei 6.75 (expekt).
O gavros de fainetai na afinei polla stin tixi, alla kai pali, afti ti vdomada fanike oti pan na paiksoun normal mexi stigmis (stous allous 2). Vevaia o men Paok epaize se stimeno match me to ipokatastima tou, o de vazelos me to Levadeiako, pou exei alles diskolies kai de tha epefte sti fwtia, asxeta pou ksekwliastikan kai den efagan goal stis 20 prwtes telikes. O Voskakis mas elege o Karpet oti tha kanei epideiksi dinamis tou Pao kai de dinei to xeri sto 0-0, pentakatharo penalty. Ara sti souma, isws apofasisan na paiksoun normal gia mia vdomada, an perasan oi pieseis tou Pao kai tou Paok. An to match einai astito, akoma kai me iper tou diaitisia normal, o gavros exei provlima. Apla i omada einai ipervolika kaki.
Tespa, logika diplo einai, alla elpizw toulaxiston me ena goal mono.
Mon.
Profanws to prwto simeio einai o asos sto Iwnikos-Doxa, apla i Doxa edw exei mono upside san stoixima kai katholou downside.
Ti ennow: I Doxa diadikastika den kserei na kerdizei, kerdizei kiriarxwntas. Oute x kserei na pairnei, kserei na tis klevoun tis nikes se x. Me kakisti amina, ektos den pas na pareis apotelesma, kai di sti Nikaia. O Iwnikos den kserw an einai kaliteros apo aigalew (sti souma fantazomai einai), alla einai sigoura kaliteros apo Ilioupoli, Kalamata. Kai sigoura oxi xeiroteros apo Rodo. Epeidi omws to x2 einai 2 simeia kai meiwnei to variance, tha valw 1 unit sto x2 se apodosi 2 (lay to 2 tou asou sti BF). De nomizw oti prosferei idiaitera pragmata to x edw, alla an i Doxa paiksei kalitera, toulaxiston einai fair value to x, opote afou meiwnei kai to variance, einai ok.
Tha valw omws kai 0.6 units sto 4.50 tis BF gia Doxa. Koita, den iparxei stoixeio pou na ipagorevei na paiksei anthrwpos ti Doxa kai na deixnei lathos stin apodosi, ektos apo ena kai vasiko: I kali Doxa mporei na valei 4 goal ston Iwniko, o kalos Iwnikos, akoma kai na petixei tin sinithismeni athlia Doxa, to poli kapou ekei na valei kai pali ligotera. I moni istoria einai oti to kako proswpo stin amina se mas einai pleon sinexes, tha simvei pio sixna diladi. ALLA an tixei kai paiksoume opws prin dio mines, i diafora dinamikotitas einai poli megali gia na to dwseis 4.50. Tha mou peis giati na tixei na paiksoume twra? Den einai anagkastiko pws tha tixei, apla sigkentrwnei kapoies pithanotites. Afto giati ta ergometrika edeiksan kalitera tou anamenomenou gia tin epoxi, ara provlima fisikis katastasis den iparxei. Thimomaste kai persi oti eimastan korifi se fisiki katastasi, ara de mporei na einai toso tragika ta pragmata ekei. Apla eixame mono kai diarkws kaki tixi, se kathe match. Me Kalamata 22-3 telikes kai pali i niki irthe sto 89. Tixi vevaiws exoun sinithws oi omades pou exoun kai diaitisia (episis oi omades pou paizoun amina). I 'kardia tou prwtathliti' pou kanei na vazeis to goal sto 90', osa xronia vlepw mpala, panta emfanizotan se osous eixan ta sfirigmata. PANTA. Einai fisika kai psixologiko afto, ksereis oti 'kati tha ginei' mexri to teleftaio lepto, enw an se paei kontra ksereis oti 'kapou tha gamithei'. Tespa, i diaitisia iremise apo tote pou irthe o Samios. Vevaia, kai pali de mas edwse eksofthalmo penalty sto 1-1 me Kalamata pou tha to edine kai i mana tou paikti, alla genika exoun iremisei arketa. Kai i tixi, ok, einai akoma skatenia, alla estw ki etsi ti niki tin ekanes. Ara isws na piran psixologia. De sou akirwnei to goal (sto parelthon tha evriske kapoio magiko logo na to kanei isws!) kai girnas to match kai kerdizeis. Mporei loipon na strwsan psixologika kapws. An exoun fisiki katastasi kai psixologia, to match de mporei na einai gia 4.8 (pou to prwtopaiksa) oute gia 4.5, einai to poli gia 3.75. Lew apla 'an exoun', de lew 'an to deiksoun sto match', profanws an ksereis oti tha to deiksoun sto match tha edine 2.25 to diplo.
To ti tha deiksei i omada einai allo kapelo, apla etsi opws einai oi apodoseis simainei eite oti einai demeno apo diaititi i avanta tis edras, eite oti den exei dothei katholou varos stin opoia psixologiki fasi tis Doxas. De mporw na fantastw oti tha sprwksei toso poli Iwniko o diaititis se tileoptiko mats, de moiazei logiko. Ara apla o oddsmaker leei 'what you see (as of late, sti Doxa) is what you get' kai mas vazei sto idio kazani dinamikotitas me tis ASA kai giati oxi tin Ilioupoli. Den einai etsi ta pragmata. Sta kala mas mporei na ftasoume poli pio psila se apodosi apo aftous.
Einai san na poume oti i fetini AEK ipodexetai to fetino Panathinaiko meta apo kako seri tou vazelou kai dinei to diplo 4.50, einai xontri ipervoli.
Fisika ok, pali asos tha erthei, alla to paragamisan oi oddsmakers...
Mon.
Loipon, meriki souma.
- 1 unit apo kavala.
+1.65 units apo hcap Kompoti.
-0.5 units apo niki Kompoti (damn, to eixame...)
+.88 units apo hcap Ergo me gavro.
-0.5 units apo win Ergo me gavro, kargioli diaititi.
Aidia sto nionios-zela:Xanw to miso sto over 2.25 kai xanw kai to +1 hcap.
-1.2 units apo to over
-1.5 units apo to +1 hcap.
+3.48 units apo niki Senegalis
+1.9 units apo hcap senegal
+1.51 units apo hcap grias me gavro.
+2.88 units apo niki grias
-1 unit geloiwdws apo hcap doxas
-0.6 units (akoma ksernaw) apo niki doxas.
Souma:6-7 +6.00 units.
Mon.
Imoun YTD: 88-78 +27.94 units
opote paw YTD: 94-85 +33.94 units.
Mon.
xrwstousa kai 2 apo australian open. O fed ekane ligoterous asous apo karlovic, -1.5 units ekei. Alla epaikse perissotera games apo Nadal, +1.95 units ekei, 1-1 +.45 units diladi.
YTD: 95-86 +34.39 units.
Mon.
Gavros-Giannena x 7.50 bwin. 1 unit.
De me noiazei na petaksw ena unit, einai arrwsto to 7.50 me toso amintikes omades. Exw kai to x2 klp, alla to 7.50 gia x einai arrwsto.
Mon.
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