tis Bettson. Mallon katw apo dimino.
Mias kai to dinoun akoma kai to exw paiksei xontra, as to dwsw kai edw: 2 units vazelos prwtathlitis sto 2.50. Na min ta ksanaleme, miden pagko o gavros kai sin mia diorganwsi tis prokopis na paizei. De thelei poli.
2 units Mpouroussi under 21.5 poits+rebounds 1.86
Ligotero xrono kai den exei logo na skistei me afta ta lima.
La Bomba Navarro over 11.5 (!!!) points 1.86, 2 units. To telos tis logikis. Sti bwin to over 14.5 dinei 1.65! Den trelainomai genika, alla 11.5? Ektos logikis.
St Louis Rams over 5 nikes sto prwtathlima,1.87, 3 units.
Pali oti na einai, oi Rams tha einai veltiwmenoi fetos kai i division tous de leei polla. Oi Cardinals tha pesoun se sxesi me persi kai tha anevoun oi Seahawks logika, opws kai na exei, oi apodoseis tous thimizoun apodoseis nfl prin apo 4-5 xronia toulaxiston ki afto se evrwpaious books, oi megales malakies apo amerikanous itan akoma paliotera. Milame gia 70% bet aneta.
Tha exw ena akoma to vradi, an vgei kanena apo ta 2 simerina. Alliws tha kanw neo deposit. Oi apodoseis tous einai pantelws treles.
Update: Twra pou mpikan ta fragka apo Navarro, 3 units sto paroli Arizona Cardinals under 9.5 nikes 1.85 kai Pasok na parei tis ekloges 1.05 (sinolo 1.94)
To pasok profanws de xanei, milame loipon gia to allo. I apodosi einai pantelws geloia, kathe epaggelmatias pou kserw exei paiksei to under 8.5 (oxi 9.5) akoma kai se xeiroteres apodoseis apo to 1.85. 1.80 px klp. O logos pou to paizoume einai oti pistevoume oti exei toulaxiston 60% (actually 65%) na erthei, diladi na exoume panw apo 10% return on investment, aliws giati na deseis ta lefta sou gia 4 mines? Dedomenou oti paizoun 16 match mono, kai dedomenou tou pws katanemontai genika oi nikes, an to 8.5 itan swsti apodosi, tote peripou 20% twn forwn tha pigaine akrivws 9 nikes, ara to 65% ginetai 85%. An to paroume ligo pio sovara, an pisteveis oti ontws exoun 65% gia under 8.5, tote peftei ligaki to pososto gia 9, alla se kamia periptwsi katw apo to 15%. As poume 16%. Ara to under 9.5 pou dinoun aftoi oi trelloi einai 81% bet kai to value fisika astronomiko(49%). Oti na'nai apla. Kata vasi, oi ipologismoi mou einai kai sintiritikoi, oso apistefto kai an akougetai.
Neo update: pasok 1.05 paroli me Jacksonville Jaguars over 7.5 1.83 (1.92 sinoliki apodosi), 3 units kai pali. Alli mia oti na'nai apodosi, apla 'mono' 25% value i kapws etsi.
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33 σχόλια:
Loipon to dwsan x to mpouroussi, gamw to themelio mou. Kerdise to allo omws, +1.72 units, ara YTD: 15-11 +5.89 units.
Mon.
psaxno misi ora sti betsson gia na valo ta stoiximata sou sto nfl...
gine pio leptomeriakos gia emas tous asxetous pou se pistevoume kai se akolouthame...
vas
ok to vrika....
ayto pote teleionei na xero pote plironome at least???
Teleiwnei teli dekemvri. Alla afta isws exoun vgei kai arxes dekemvri, toso kala einai.
Mon.
2 units apo Betsson Pero Antic under 19 pts+rebs.
2 units Massey under 19.5 pts+rebs.
Kai ta dio dinoun 1.86. Kai ta 2 einai value, alla profanws to pio pithano einai an paei to ena under, to allo na paei over kai to antistrofo. Ginetai kai ta dio na pan under alla poli poli pio diskola na pan kai ta 2 over. Ta noumera pou dinoun einai off apo 2-3 (pts+rebs) to kathena toulaxiston.
Mon.
3 units sto na exei i Ellada katw apo 39.5 pososto sta triponta 1.85, Bwin. Varame me 41.8% gia tin wra alla de giname giougkoslavia, imarton. Talk about overreaction.
Mon.
1 unit Germany +5.5 rebounds over Greece 1.85, Bwin.
Pairnoume 1.7 ligotera sto match apo aftous, alla kala kanoun kai mas dinoun favori, afou de ginetai na eisai 15 pontous fav kai na min eisai fav na pareis kai ta rebounds. Apla ta 5.5 mou fainontai polla, kai etsi an kai paizw liga, paizw to +5.5.
Allwste me to idio skeptiko, giati dinoun mono 7.5 rebs handicap tis Gallia pou episis einai favori kai pairnei konta 10 parapanw apo Fyrom? Pantws einai oriako, den einai gia fortwma.
Mon.
re liako epexa to pasok sto 1.06
win 2k sxedon....
kala tou kana???? na agxotho i den xreiazete???
ayto pote plironei???
vas
Esi eisai o anthrwpos mou, imoun sigouros oti apo ola ta stoiximata, esi tha epaizes afto, giati exeis kai parelthon ws tokogleifos kai to sigkekrimeno einai apla tokos:)))
4 Oktwvriou pleroua.
Mon.
Imoun 15-11 +5.89 units.
Kai GAMW TO THEO MOY, paei o kokkinomagoulos kai vazei to 6o triponto kai kanoume 6/14 kai xanw 3 units. Gamw ta panta. Vgika pali panw, alla trelathika gamw to theo mou kai pali, parolo pou to max pou me afisan itan 270.26 euro, enw ta 2 sta skopia, efagan 300 to kathena (asxeta pou ta eixa apo 2 units). Na vgei enas apo Masey, Antic kai na xasei o allos, alla na vgoun ta triponta, to katalavainw, alla de mporw, xtikiazw, na mi vgainei afto to gamimeno stoixima pou einai me diafora kalitero.
Tespa o Masey eixe 2 pontous kai 2 rebounds sto prwto imixrono kai sta 3 prwta quarters genika, teleiwse me 9 pts, 5 rebs, pws den prolave na ta gamisei ola se ena quarter? O antic eixe 2 pts kai 1 reb sto imixrono kai teleiwse me 8 pts kai 4 rebs (paizonas mono sto 3o quarter). Poso poli thes na ta akous re pousti thee???
Kerdisan ta rebounds (29-28 i germania) pou itan ena oriako bet kai exasan ta triponta, oti na'nai apla.
1.72 units apo antic
1.72 units apo Masey.
0.85 units apo rebounds.
Ara 3-1 +1.29 units.
YTD:18-12 +7.18 units.
Parolo pou i logiki pethane simera me to 6/14 kontra sti germania, exw tha sinexisw to violi mou...
3 units tin Tourkia under 38.5% sta triponta me Ispania, 1.85, Bwin. Loipon i Tourkia varaei me 42.4% meso oro, alla otan exeis tin Ispania 6.5 pontous favori kai ti dineis ov/un 35.5% sta triponta, enw tin tourkia ov/un 38.5% apla poulas trela. De metraei mono poios paizei alla kai me poion, i Ispania epitrepei 32,5% sta triponta. An vgaleis to meso oro, paei kato apo to 38.5%. An thewriseis tin ikanotita twn ispanwn na stamatoun to triponto eksisou isxiri me tin ikanotita twn Tourkwn na epivallun to triponto. Alla fisika afto tha eixe logiki an to mats itan moirasmeno, de mporei na leei i apodosi gia to match oti i Ispania einai favori na epivallei to paixnidi tis kai apo tin alli na leei oti ta triponta twn tourkwn tha meinoun anepireasta.
Simeiwteon oti i Tourkia epaikse me kati voulgaries klp, i Ispania apo tin alli, i moni thewritika adinami omada pou epaikse itan to UK, kai aftoi tous evalan 10/22 triponta, alliws tha xan kai kalitera pososta kontra sto triponto.
Ok, kai avrio tha ntithoun kai oi Tourkoi 'plavi' kai tha vroun tropo na xasoun 6-7 pontous e 39% sta triponta (mi me rwtate pws ginetai afto).
Mon.
Loipon, vlepeis ti wraia pou ginetai kamia fora, otan de gamietai kserete poios?
Oi Tourkoi, parolo pou nikisan omorfa ki wraia to fantasma tis Ispanias, eixan 6/26 triponta, diladi 23.1%. Kamia fora ginetai kai to pio pithano vlepeis...
Edw thelw na metrisw kai ws xameno to Diaw gia prwto scorer tis Gallias, i diafora einai idi terastiotati, den pairnei prospatheies, parolo pou paizei perissoteri wra apo olous. Apla arapis, ti mia pairnei 300 prospatheies kai tin alli (fetos) kamia, pws na mpeis sto mialo tou, diladi se kati pou den iparxei? Itan pantws kako stoixima kai poli speculative.
Antitheta afto ston Sxortsianiti apodeiknietai oti itan mia xara stoixima, parolo pou den paizei na vgei (poli mprosta idi o Vspan, mono an travmatistei kai xasei dio mats allazei), alla einai aneta defteros kai exei perissoterous pontous ana lepto simmetoxis me diafora apo tous allous.
Tespa, edw metraw tin tourkia, +2.55 units kai to Diaw, -0.2 units, ara 1-1 +2.35 units.
YTD:20-13 +9.53 units.
Mon.
Anagkazomai na paw kontra sta ti vlepw gia to match ka sta 3 epomena stoiximata mou, alla ta noumera einai ligo oti na'nai.
Apla tha ta paiksw apala:
1 unit ston Lambe under 23.5 pts+rebs, 1.86, bettson.
1 unit ston Gortat under 26.5 pts+rebs,1.86, bettson.
2 units ston Dragic under 16.5 points 1.60, Bettson.
De sinithizw na paizw props tou 1.60 para poli, alla vlepw trelo overreaction, einai too much o Dragic. Apo tin alli, vlepw terastio tournoua na kanei o gortat, giafto to vazw mono ena unit, an kai einai poli 'off' to noumero. Apla tin Polwnia ti skeftomai akoma kai gia tin poli megali ekpliksi (se apodosi 70) se afot to tour opou den iparxei kaneis. Skefteite oti meta tin itta tis Ispanias simera, isws mas vgaloun prwto favori, an to akousoun oi dikoi mas, mporei na sastisoun. Apla ta leei ola poso tournoua tou kwlou eiai, an eimaste prwto fav.
Mon.
Prepei na paiksw kai ta blocks tis Polwnias -.5 1.85, 1.5 units, me Serbia. Einai poli kali amintiki omada i Serbia, alla 5 blocks meso oro antimetwpizoun ta 2.33 blocks meso oro. Ta blocks den exoun toso poli na kanoun me ta favori (ligotero px apo taklepsimata), epipleon, einai mikro fav i Serbia, oxi 8 pontous. Apo Bwin.
Mon.
Allo 1.5 units sto 1.85 tis Slovenias -.5 assists 1.85 me Lietuva. Dedomenou oti einai favori 5.5 points, kai exoun akrivws tis idies assists meso oro, me poli xeirotero programma gia Slovenia so far, 1 assist parapanw tha eprepe na ti dwsoun.
Mon.
Kali mera: o Lampe eixe sinolo 2 points kai 5 rebounds, ara aneta +.86 units. O Gortat imoun kwlofardos pou telika den pige over, 16 points, 9 rebs, alla afto itan kai to thema, oti to noumero to parakane, akoma kai gia ta 40 lepta pou epaikse. +.86 units kai ekei.
O Dragic, apla mpales, 2 points mono, +1.20 units.
O theos o Gortat ekane to deftero tou kopsimo nomizw 3 lepta prin to telos kai ara polwnia4, serbia 3, +1.28 units.
I slovenia kerdise poli aneta, opote itan adinato na xathoun oi assists, 21-14, +1.28 units akomi.
Sinolo 5-0 +5.48 units.
YTD:25-13 +15.01 units. Kala einai na exoume ligi kava, giati i episismi agapimeni exei valthei na mas ksekwliasei.
Mon.
Den eimai megalos fan tis Gallias sas fav me tin Croatia, alla oute kai tha to paiza kontra, opote ena unit sto Gallia more assists -0.5 1.85, sti Bwin, tha to valw. Exei dwsei mia parapanw, exei dextei apo antipalous mia ligoteri, psilomoirasmeni fasi loipon. Alla i mia omada einai kai favori. Stin teliki i Croatia exei parei kai mats opou exase tis assists. De milame diladi oti paizei tpt to periergo, opote xwris ousiasiko handicap (mono 0.5) prepei kati na valeis sti Gallia more assists.
Mon.
Croatia under 35.5% sta triponta, pali mono 1 unit, 1.85, Bwin. Einai psilooriako, alla ok, ekei konta varaei i Croatia, kai i Gallia exei epitrepsei 23/83 mono, opote exei ligo value to under, oxi trello, alla gia 1 unit einai ok.
Mon.
De sinithizw na paizw to Spanouli under se match pou einai sxedon adiafora, kai ta noumera de voithan kai toso poli pou na peis oti einai slam-dunk bet, alla tha ton paiksw 1.5 unit sto under 19.5 points+assists tis Bettson, 1.86. 15.5 kai 3.5 dinei sti Bwin, me ligoulaki paigmeno to over 3.5 assists, alla vlepw na min tairiazei kai toso afto to match ston kokkinomagoulo gia kapoio logo. To total einai pantws xamilo (malista stous 143, to skeftomai to over na pw tin amartia mou), opote den prepei na einai kai poli kako apo mathimatiki apopsi, pantws einai play pio poli vasismeno sto 'feel' pou exw gia to match. Px, vlepw fwtsi na ksipnaei edw, isws akoma kai zisi, isws einai psixologiko pou paizan sti Rwssia, den kserw, alla gia kapoio logo apo ekei kai fisika apo Mpouroussi -an einai kala kai parei xrono- vlepw tis liseis simera.
Mon.
Parolo pou exw trelli kapsoura me Sofo, parolo pou exoun faei pontous apo psilous me olous tous antipalous oi Rwsoi, eimai sxedon sigouros oti tha paei under 11.5 o Sofo. Tha kanw paso, an kai exw poli feeling gia to under tou. Ws epi to pleiston, oi psiloi pou tous skoraran pantws itan poli kinitikoi gia to ipsos tous i den itan poli psiloi (diaw 19, Gagla 19, Kampala 22, akoma kai o Turiaf -18- einai gia ta metra tous poli kinitikos). Par'ol'afta, tha paw ena gamimeno paso kai den tha to paiksw (sti bwin to under 10.5 exei paixtei ligo pantws) giati ok, exoun faei kai apo ligotero kinitikous. Pantws eimai sto tsak.
To gamwto olo einai oti de mporw na kserw se i katastasi einai o Averel, alliws tha xtipousa to over 12.5 tou averell kai tha imoun cool, alla tha mou girisei to kefali an paiksei 10 lepta..
Mon.
Vasika asto, stegno paso, as min to parakanw. I avevaiotita gia ta lepta simmetoxis einai terasia, last match 20 mins o Sofo, 14 o Averel. Me tetoia lepta simmetoxis, to ov 11.5 tou Sofo ginetai kalo akoma kai kontra na to vlepeis alliws. O anthrwpos den paizetai. Me 14 mins o Mpouroussis, episis de mporei na paei panw apo 12.5. An itan apla tixaio logw antipalou pou tairiaze, tha itan ok, alla ta 0 lepta tou Averel me Israel se kanoun na skeftesai. Den egine kai tipote na pas kai ena paso...
Mon.
Ronny Turiaf, under 24.5 pts+rebs, bettson, 1.80, 1.5 units.
To noumero einai toso psilo pou xwrane mexri kai 3 units. Apla to spot de mou aresei katholou. Perimenw kalo paixnidi apo afti ti maimou simera. Den eixa oreksi na ton kontrarw, apla to noumero to paraknei. Exei 8.75 rebs meso oro kai 9.3 pontous. Tou tairiazei to mats, alla to noumero paramenei ipervolika psilo. Otan vgainei se antistoixi fasi o Gortat pou ton evlepa na paizei 38 lepta aneta (kai epaikse kai ta 40), den tha kwlwsw ston Turiaf, pou paizei 23 meso oro. Vevaia, tha peis exei perithwrio na paiksei pio poli simera. Nai, sti thewria, stin praksi iparxei logos pou tous kanei rotation, afou exei paiktes kai goustarei skliri amina.
Epipleon exei efkolo to foul (pio poli apo kathe allo Gallo). 4, 3, 3 (se 12 mins se ena) kai 4 akoma kai me ta Skopia exei.
Gia na leme ta sika-sika, einai beast, kai nomizw to match tha ton paei, giafto 1.5 units anti gia 2.5-3, alla de ginetai na pas teleiws paso kai edw.
Mon.
Loipon 21-14 assists i Gallia kai +.85 units.
7/13 triponta omws i Croatia kai -1 unit.
12 points, 7 (!!!) assistso V-span kai under 19.5:) +1.29 units.
Apo to 14:23 eixe 3 foul o Turiaf kai epaikse pali elaxista, 3 pts, 5 rebs, aneta +1.29 units.
3-1 +2.43 units.
YTD:units. Update gia ta NFL bets sto allo thread.
YTD:28-14 +17.45 units ennow.
Mon.
1 unit Gortat under 27.5 points+rebounds, 1.86, Bettson.
Ti na kanw, ton paw poli, alla einai psilo to noumero kai pali kai perimenw perissotero na skoraroun oi kontoi se afto to match (apo Polwnia lew panta).
1.5 unit Ignerski under 14.5 points, 1.86 Bettson. Exei valei ta pio polla triponta apo Polwnous, exei 14.3 meso oro, opote den einai afstira ta noumera edw pou to kanoun play, einai to feel pou exw gia to game. Para ta triponta, einai 2.07, gia kapoio mistirio logo vlepw to Logan na pairnei to skorarisma tous afti ti fora (kala pera apo Gortat panta pou einai i stathera tous).
Mon.
Terastios fan tou Theodosic, alla exei 10.3 pts kai 4.25 assists, opote eimai anagkasmenos edw na ton paiksw 3 units under 17 pts+assists, 1.86, sti Bettson. Me tin tourkia perimenei kaneis na riksei to meso oro tou afou oute pollous pontous dexetai, oute pollw de mallon assists. Se polla spots ton evlepa over se pontous, alla oxi edw, toso paiktika, oso kai apo noumero, paw sto under, giafto max bet. Pio poli gia 2.5 units to vlepw, alla variomoun na to grapsw kai eipa 3...
Mon.
Ksigiountai poli assist oi Polwnoi. Exasan 18 pts apo Tourkia alla kanan x se assists, exasan 5 pts apo Serbia kai dwsan mia parapanw. Kai pali omws, 7 pontous outsider parapaei na to dineis favori gia tis assists.
2 units loipon sto Slovenia +.5 assists 1.72, Bwin. En tw metaksi ta palikaria ta pistevw akoma kai gia na paroun to Eurobasket, alla olo me anagkazoun oi apodoseis na paizw kontra se pragmata pou de thelw kamia douleia na ta kontrarw...
Mon.
1 unit sto under 18 points+rebounds tou Asik, 1.86, Bettson. Oriako to vriskw sxetika, alla ta noumera genika ekei klinoun. An eixa kai apopsi tha epaiza parapanw, alla den poliexw.
1.5 unit sto under 14.5 points+rebounds tou Oguz Savas 1.72, Bettson. Afto to vlepw kapws parapanw, einai kai kalitero to noumero, genika den exw omws kai poli oreksi na valw polla kontra stous psilous tis Tourkias me Servia. Isws na einai kai oriaka lathos to prwto bet kai na einai kalo mono to deftero(kai na mi vgei oute keino), alla twra ta paiksa, opote de gameis???
Pantws o Savas under prepei sxedon sigoura na einai kalo.
Mon.
Katafera na paw 5-1 kai omws na gamisw olotela to 3 unit play.
O theodosic 18 pontous kai 8 assists, sinolo 26, -3 units.
O Gortat aneto under (6 pts, 10 rebs) kai akoma kai an epaize 40 mins me afto to rithmo pigaine under. +.86 units.
Magika pragmata me Ignierski, evale 7, alla ola ta lefta einai pou eipa oti tha kouvalisei to score o Logan, oute na ta estina re ksekwliarides. +1.29 units.
I polwnia sinexizei na me mperdevei me to stop stis assist pou vazei. 16-13 to pire i Slovenia vevaia, alla kerdise kai 16 points diafora. Prepei na ksigietai arketo foul (pou kovei tis assistis) i Polwnia kai na einai kai arketa efkoli stin assist mprosta, i kati tetoio, den eksigeitai to pws exoun toso mikri psalida se match pou xanoun tsonta.
+1.44 units apo kei.
Pantws se mera pou pianeis ta oriaka, prepei na eisai happy kai o Asik eipame einai oriako, vevaia epaiksan kai paratasi (den kserw an epaize ekei), alla opws kai na exei, 11 pts, 6 rebs, under 18:)
+.86 units.
Kai o mikros theoulis o Savas ksigithike omorfa. 2 points, zero assists. +1.08 units.
Sinolo 5-1, +2.53 units.
Update tou ytd se ligo.
Mon.
Loipon meta ta touchdown props imoun 31-17 +18.87 units, ara meta t0 5-1 +2.53 sto basket simera, pame YTD: 36-18 +21.40 units.
Mon.
De mporw na eksigw ta panta, giati kapoia pragmata einai kalitera na mi grafontai, alla iparxoun dio picks sto Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots apopse.
2 units sto 'shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards', 1.85, Bwin. Theloume touchdown meta apo 1-yard play diladi, i apo fumble mesa sto endzone.
1.5 units sto 'Quarter to have the highest scoring?' tou idiou match, i epilogi einai '2nd quarter', 2.95 apodosi, Bettson.
Mon.
To Croatia-Germania, krinei tin teleftaia thesi pou prokrinetai, kata sinepeia adiaforo den einai, eidika an ginei to apolitws normal kai xasoun ta skopia wris avrio. Opote to under 148 1.93 stin Bettson, den to katalavainw kai vazw 1.5 units.
Oxi oti de ginetai na paei over, den einai prop, total einai kai toso terastia lathi de tha ginoun, alla kai pali nomizw to match exei 55% under edw, to opoio mou ftanei kai mou perissevei.
Mon.
Sto NE-Buffalo eixame touchdown tis mia yardas, ara +1.70 units apo ekei. To deftero quarter eixe 17 pontous, opote pigaine na vgei kai to allo, sto 4o omws eginan diafora kai mas perase. To gamwto einai oti to skeftomoun na to paiksw gia kalipsi, tespa, de gameis? -1.5 units ekei.
Ara 1-1 +.2 units.
YTD:37-19 +21.60 units.
Mon.
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