ΣΤΥΓΕΡΟ ΕΓΚΛΗΜΑ ΔΙΕΠΡΑΧΘΗ ΣΤΗΝ ΠΟΛΗ ΤΗΣ ΔΡΑΜΑΣ ΤΗΝ ΠΑΡΑΣΚΕΥΗ 15 ΜΑΙΟΥ ΚΑΙ ΩΡΑ 18:30. 17ΧΡΟΝΟΣ ΑΣΕΛΓΗΣΕ ΕΙΣ ΒΑΡΟΣ ΗΛΙΚΙΩΜΕΝΗΣ ΓΥΝΑΙΚΑΣ 101 ΕΤΩΝ!!!
Ο ΘΡΑΣΥΤΑΤΟΣ ΝΕΑΡΟΣ ΔΙΕΤΕΛΕΣΕ ΤΟ ΕΓΚΛΗΜΑ ΥΠΟ ΤΟ ΦΩΣ ΤΗΣ ΗΜΕΡΑΣ ΚΑΙ ΠΑΡΟΥΣΙΑ ΠΛΕΟΝ ΤΩΝ ΠΕΝΤΑΚΟΣΙΩΝ ΑΥΤΟΠΤΩΝ ΜΑΡΤΥΡΩΝ, ΑΝΑΜΕΣΑ ΣΤΟΥΣ ΟΠΟΙΟΥΣ ΚΑΙ Η ΡΩΣΙΔΑ ΑΠΟΚΛΕΙΣΤΙΚΗ ΝΟΣΟΚΟΜΑ ΤΗΣ ΗΛΙΚΙΩΜΕΝΗΣ, ΠΟΥ ΠΑΡΑΚΟΛΟΥΘΟΥΣΕ ΑΝΗΜΠΟΡΗ ΝΑ ΑΝΤΙΔΡΑΣΕΙ!
Η ΑΣΤΥΝΟΜΙΑ ΑΝΑΚΡΙΝΕΙ ΤΟ ΦΕΡΟΜΕΝΟ ΩΣ ΔΡΑΣΤΗ Ν.Τ. ΑΠΟ ΤΟ ΜΕΓΑΛΟΚΑΜΠΟ ΔΡΑΜΑΣ ΚΑΙ ΠΛΕΟΝ ΤΩΝ 15 ΣΥΝΕΡΓΩΝ ΤΟΥ...
ΚΑΗΜΕΝΗ ΓΙΑΓΙΑ...
13 σχόλια:
gris kaimenes, kataramenes...
xarikane ta kokkalakia tis me ton 15ari....
ti rossida ti gamise kanenas i na skaso miti drama?????????????
??????????????????????
vas
Ουκρανή δεν είναι η νοσοκόμα? :)
Nai Oukrani, oi mpatsoi ta mperdevoun afta, olous tous anatolikous idious tous vlepoun...
Thelei kai ena unit sto over 15.5 points o Rondo (Expekt).
Malakia pou ton epaiksa under tinalli fora alla eixa sto mialo mou kai sovari pithanotita na xanoun poli kai na to paratisoun. Sta diskola perimena rondo kai kiriws Pierce na sikewsoun to varos. Giati aftoi exoun ta mpalakia.
Entaksei, thelw na agiasw kai de me afinoun. To iksera vevaia, itan dedomeno. 2 units sto Denver 3.80 sto Paddypower na perasei teliko (na apokleisei tous lakers diladi). To paizw gia na to kalipsw meta to 1-1 sta prwta dio, i to 1-0 an mporesoun kai paroun to prwto match. Kai tha to kalipsw apokleistika kai mono logw diaitisias. An ta onomata twn omadwn itan anapoda, tha vlepame sweep.
Mon.
Gia prwto match apo Bwin. 0.1 units na kerdisei to denver 26 pts kai panw, 91 apodosi. 0.1 units na kerdisei apo 21-25, 59 apodosi. Perimenw tin tsapou pio poli sto deftero match para sto prwto (rustiness, teleiwsan nwris ti seira tous) alla an fanei oti oi dio omades einai isodinames, meta de tha iparxei to bet. Paizei na kerdisoun 20 kai na travaw ta vizia mou, alla anyway, otan pisteveis oti to +7 eprepe na einai +3.5, tote kai ta 2 bets einai value (an kai poli diskolo na vgoun). Tha exw kapou kai to +7, alla perimenw min paei parapanw.
Mon.
0.5 units akrives score tis seiras 4-3 oi lakers 3.60 stin Ladbrokes. 0.5 units.
0.5 units sto akrives score seiras 4-2 oi Nuggets 7.00 sti Ladbrokes.
Einai kalo san kalipsi to 4-3 giati einai +ev apo mono tou. Einai emfanes oti oi tsopanides tis Ladbrokes vgazoun akoma ta akrivi scores gia seires me mpakaliko tropo anti me sovaorus ipologismous. To 7.00 gia Denver einai ligo pio speculative (an kai nomizw oti still einai value kai xwris na valeis poli opinion mesa) alla to paizw kai logw tou oti tous vlepw arketa sklirous entos (panta itan kai exei na kanei kai me ton arrwsto kosmo tous kai me to ipsometro).
Mon.
Nice, oti mporouse na paei strava pige. O Rondo ksipnise poli arga kai o Allen prolave sto deftero kai to trito quarter na me gamisei, meta fisika de sikwse to varos gia na xtipisei i bostoni to match, apla den to sikwse kai kaneis allos. Klassikos Spanoulis, vazei pollous pontous opou tous gamane i opou gamane aftoi. Se close game, trialarilaro.
Imoun YTD:47-55-1 +33.21 units
kai paw YTD:47-57-1 +30.71 units. Gamwwww.
Mon.
Den ksenerwnw omws kai vazw 2 units sto Cleveland na parei to prwtathlima 1.87 bf (eixe kai 1.88 alla to pira olo).
An paei teliko me Denver tha to kalipsw probably gia ligo. An paei me Lakers, I will let it ride. Fisika an paei me Lakers i logiki leei oti tha anevei i apodosi. Kai giafto afinw 1 unit keno, giati an paei me lakers, exei fisika kai pleonektima edras, kai an mou dwsoun 2+ de tha pw oxi gia allo ena unit. To basket genika kai to NBA eidikotera einai ligka twn favori. De spane toso efkola sto poios tha parei titlo. Katarxas thewrw to Lebron 'the real deal', Jordanesque paiktis (oxi vevaia MJ akoma, kai vasika de nomizw pote na ginei toso megalos, alla sigoura kati kalitero apo Kobe), ara kai paiktis pou mporei na to sikwsei monos tou. Alla den einai kai monos tou. Giati otan exeis Ben Wallace na paiksei ligi amina, de vlaptei. Kai o Ilgauskas einai kalo palikari.
Nomizw oti me vasi ti logiki, diskola tha einai simantika xeiroteri i apodosi tous an pan teliko. An pan me Denver tha einai para poli kaliteri. An pan me ena LA pou perase 4-3, de tha einai xeiroteri i apodosi. Mono an diskoleftoun aftoi poli (4-3 i 4-2 px me ta match arketa close) kai to LA kanei kati se styl 4-1, tha einai arketa xeiroteri i apodosi. Oxi apithano,an vrei tropo to LA na paiksei ton Melo, i an kanei papades o Gasol, alla arketa diskolo gia 2 logous. O enas einai o mavros diamantidis, Chanceu Billups. De mporeis na vasisteis pote oti afto to palikari tha xathei stin anampoumpoula (opou o likos xairetai). Legontas anampoumpoula ennow oti tha prepei na dialeksoun se ti tempo tha pane kai se poion tha paizei aftos amina. Mporei na paizei ston Kobe, mporei omws na epileksoun na eksafanisei apla to Vujasic i opoion allon paizei asos kai na valoun analwsimous panw ston Kobe. Episis paizei rolo kai poion tha valoun panw tou gia to an tha ti moirazei poli opws sinithws i an tha pairnei parapanw sout aftos gia na anagkasei tous Lakers na xaramisoun enan kalitero amintiko panw tou. To palikari nomizw oti kati tetoies katastaseis einai o kaliteros na tis diaxeiristei. To deftero stoixeio einai i edra pou eipame kai prin. Den pernas efkola apo ta Rocky Mountains.
Last but not least, Lebron is the NBA right now. Mono afton de tha gamisoun kontra ston Olimpiako tou NBA oi diaitites. Den einai kakos sineirmos na pareis to prwto sou prwtathlima peripou osa xronia meta to ntempouto sou osa kai o MJ (nomizw 2 pio prin, alla den eimai sure) kai kontra stin idia omada pou 'kapote itan prwtathlites'. Kati tetoia ta skeftetai o Stern. A, oso gia to record tous, egine se mia Anatoli pou den einai pleon toso gimni oso palia, oi Magic eixan mono 23 ittes, oi Celts 20. Iparxei akoma mia sxetiki diafora me Disi, alla mporeis na peis oti Lakers kai Cavs tha termatizan me to idio record an epaizan akrivws to idio programma, isvs kai ligo kalitera oi Cavs. In any case, kati prepei na aksizei kai i edra.
Eksipakouetai panta oti oi Cavs sigoura de mporei na einai toso kaloi oso to 8-0 record tous sta playoffs, alla sigoura de tha diskolevontan kai toso poli kontra se miso Houston (xwris T-mac, Yao).
Mon.
Re malakes den einai dinaton aftoi oi anthrwpoi na kratan grafeio stoiximatwn. Einai apla adinaton. Vazw alla 0.5 units sti Bwin na paroun ti seira oi Lakers me akrives score 4-3 sto 4.00 apodosi.
Kovw tin poutsa mou, oti an rwtiseis kanenan 'linesmaker' (na ton kanei o theos) ekei, tha nomizei oti 'afou mas paizoun ligo denver, se sxesi me to +7 pou anoiksame prwto match, ara meinontai oi pithanotites na paroun ti seira oi lakers, me opoiodipote score'. Ti na peis twra ston tsompanara? Oti afto afksanei to akrives tin pithanotita tou akrivous score 4-3 gia lakers anti na ti meiwnei???
Tha tous valw etsi 1-2 katostarika, kai an xasw (to pio pithano fisika, afou dinei 4) elpizw na ta ependisoun na paroun enan anthrwpo pou na kserei ligto to excel, i tespa ena etoimo programmataki gia ti diwnimiki katanomi. Den einai dinaton na vgazoun apodoseis apo ton kwlo tous, einai gia gelia oi anthrwpoi re. Pws skata kratan aftoi oi anthrwpoi grafeio stoiximatwn?
Ekei sto Curacao, stis Ollandikes Antilles, pou exei edra i Pinbet, oi anthrwpoi fantazomai otan den exoun douleia, kathontai kai koitan tis apodoseis pou vgazoun oi 'sinadelfoi' tous sti Bwin kai gelane (sa na leme oti o violitzis tou panigiriou einai sinadelfos tou Pagkanini). Den einai oti to value einai trello. Einai oti einai emfanes oti vgalan tis apodoseis me mpakaliko tropo xwris ipologismous.
Mon.
Epipleon, den exw kamia oreksi na paizw mia omada na kanei sweep, alla me tous ilithious pou empleksa, prepei anagkastika na valw 1 unit sto Cleveland to sweep Magic 5.65 (akrives score 4-0 to cleveland diladi).
Eilikrina den pisteva oti mporoun na skatwsoun apo ta 8 pithana score, ta pio akraia (4-0 kai 0-4). Ena eksipno paidi dimotikou i ena ok apla gimnasiou, mporouse na vgalei kaliteres apodoseis an prospathouse. Na skatwseis to 4-1,4-2klp to katalavainw. Egleipses kapoio kwlo kai mpikes se mia douleia pou eisai argomisthos, kathws ta lefta pou vgazeis ta vgazeis apla epeidi to tmima marketing doulevei kala kai iparxoun arketoi asxetoi na pontaroun stin etairia sou. Den exeis idea ti tha pei binomial distribution, alla de xreiazetai ki olas, profanws kai o supervisor sou, kapws etsi tha mpike sti douleia! Alla to 4-0? Diladi gia na skatwseis to 4-0 prepei na min kaneis oute mia 'half-assed' prospatheia na vgaleis apodoseis gia ta 4 prwta match tis seiras re pousti mou!
Oriste mia prospatheia: Pairneis to no vig line tis pinbet kai vgazeis pithanotites gia to prwto paixnidi. Vgainei 82% gia Cleveland. Parte twra tous apolitous metriopatheis ipologismous mou gia na deite poso apla mporousan na katalavoun ti papria kanoun me to 5.65:
Deftero match (ipotithetai piran to prwto). An valeis tin idia apodosi, pairneis pali 82%. Proswpika pistevw oti afto pou ekanan afta ta zwa einai na poun '3 pontous aksizei i edra sto nba, sta playoffs ligo parapanw, opote vale 4, opote 8.5 sta entos kai 0.5 sta ektos favori to cleveland'. Etsi tous vgike ena pososto gia 4-0 konta sto 16.5-17%, opou den einai value to 5.65.
Tespa, to swsto den einai na valeis akrivws 8.5 sto deftero. Tha iparxei ligo zig-zag effect, alla apopsi mou den prokeitai na paei katw apo 7 pontous fav to Clev. Alla as poume, etsi gia tis poutsas to xava oti tha einai 6.5 opws apopse oi lakers. Pas metatrepeis to moneyline twn lakers kai sou vgainei 74% gia niki o gipedouxos.
SIMEIWSI: Ola ta 6.5 pontous favori den einai idia profanws. Diladi akoma kai an einai 6.5 pontous favori to cleveland sto deftero match, de tha einai mono 74% na kerdisei. Tha einai more like 77%. Giati? Giati paizei rolo to total. Apopse sto la-denver einai 214.5, enw sto cavs-magic einai 184.5. Einai allo na perimenoun oti tha valeis 6.5 pontous parapanw apo tous 214 pou tha mpoun kai allo 6.5 pontous parapanw apo tous 184 pou tha mpoun. Opws as poume sti mpala, opou pontoi einai ta goal. An mia omada einai ena olokliro ponto (goal) favori sto handicap, tote sto moneyline einai panw apo 60% na kerdisei. Afta vevaia einai apolitws psila grammata gia bwin, apokleietai pote na to skeftontan.
As poume loipon 74% gia deftero match (an kai einai ligo parapanw sigoura).
Pame sto 3o match. Mia logiki ektimisi leei oti oi cavs, 2-0 panw, tha einai 2.5 pontous favori ekei mesa, eidika afou tha exei 10-0 record sta playoffs. Alla as poume etsi xarin sizitisis, oti tha einai mono enan ponto panw. As tous dwsoume mono 52% na kerdisoun afto to match. E, tote re tsopanides tis Bwin, den einai dinaton na exei pali meta 52% an einai 3-0 panw, sto teleftaio match(kai giati oi omades 3-0 katw ta paratan kai giati tha exeis deiksei megali anwterotita gia na ftaseis sto 3-0). Ekei i apodosi tha einai aneta 4.5 pontous favori oi Cavs. Alla as poume pali gia tis poutsas to xava oti tha einai 58% mono na kerdisoun (kapou 2.5-3 pontous favori). Akoma kai me afto to noumero. Ta 4 mazi dinoun 18.30188%. Pollaplasiase me 5.65 kai vgainei 1.034, diladi 3.4% value. Pws ginetai na skatwnoun to 4-0 pou to vgazeis se 5 lepta me calculator twn windows re pousti mou???
En pasei periptwsei, pio normal ektimiseis einai 82% prwto match, 77% deftero match, 54% trito match kai 63% sto teleftaio. Me afta dinei 21.3% value. Kai anagkazomai egw o malakas na paiksw ena olokliro unit, enw de mou aresei katholou na paiksw mia tetoia omada se telikous perifereias na paei 4-0. Thelw na agiasw kaita zwa de me afinoun.
Mon.
Loipon imoun 47-57-1 +30.71 units. To Denver de nikise me paw apo 20 pontous (exase 3) opote ena xameno kai -0.2 units. To Cleveland pswlare xthes kai exase ena ponto opote kai allo ena xameno kai -1 unit. Eftixws to Maroussi kratise to +7.5, ara +0.99 units. Sinolo 1-2 -0.21 units.
YTD: 48-59-1 +30.50 units.
Parempiptontws, to Cleveland kerdize 12 pontous sto imixrono, giafto lew pswlare, mallon tin eidan oti ok, alli mia efkoli niki, kai tin patisan. Opoios tine xei megali, tin pataei. Alla menei anoikto to parolaki mou me Verdy.
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