Τέλος των play offs στην Σούπερλιγκ...επιτέλους!
Αεκ-Παο 2.80-2.80-2.60
Παοκ-Αελ 1.65-3.40-5.00
Παίζουν με τον παοκ μας...θα είμαστε έτοιμοι για το σεντόνι αν δεν είχε play offs...και κάποιοι γραφικοί θα έκραζαν ακόμη τον Σάντος!!!
Ουστ!!!
Εγγραφή σε:
Σχόλια ανάρτησης (Atom)
18 σχόλια:
Παοκ-Αελ over 2.5 goals στο 2.10 2 units
ΔΕΝ ΘΑ ΑΣΧΟΛΗΘΩ ΜΕ ΤΗΝ ΠΑΡΩΔΙΑ ΤΩΝ ΕΛΛΗΝΙΚΩΝ PLAY OFF, ΑΛΛΑ ΜΕ ΤΗΝ ΑΓΑΠΗΜΕΝΗ ΜΟΥ ΙΣΠΑΝΙΑ
1) ΟΣΑΣΟΥΝΑ-ΡΕΑΛ:1: 1,55: 3Μ
2) ΣΑΝΤΑΤΕΡ-ΧΕΤΑΦΕ:2:1,95:3Μ
3) ΛΑΣ ΠΑΛΜΑ- ΣΑΛΑΜΑΓΚΑ:1:1,90:3Μ
ΟΜΟΙΩΣ ΚΑΙ ΤΟ ΠΑΡΟΛΑΚΙ ΜΕ 3Μ.
ΑΤΑ
DOXA OSMANITSA CLUB.
VRIKE TROPO KAI EPESE I BETIS...
THA FANE KALO XILO APO TOUS OPADOUS OLOI...
..TO ELPIZO ...
EXO KAI O NADAL SIMERA...
EINE I TERASTIA EFKERIA TOU FEDERER NA PAREI AYTO POU EPIZITA XRONIA... THA TA KATAFERI ARAGE???...
MERA EKPLIXEON....
vas
Pame liga picks kai edw. 1 unit na min parei set o Soderling (bwin) 4.54. Tha faei kalipsi meta, apla perimenw na vgalei kai i pinbet.
Mon.
Tha kerdisei parapanw apo ena set o Davydenko? Nai 3 units 1.33.
Vasika ola afta ta kaliptw, alla na mi sas ta zalizw me ta surebets. To Dav gia niki to zitan stin BF 1.48, ara to ligotero gia niki exei 100/1.48=67.56% Episis to bet kerdizei me Soderling 3-2. To zitan 9, ara sti xeiroteri exei 100/9=11.11%, ara to bet exei sti xeiroteri 78.67%. Epi 1.33 vgazei 4.6% value.
Mon.
Lay 3 units sto 3.65 tis bf gia to 3-0 tou Davydenko, kalipsi tou proigoumenou. Na dwseis kapoion 3.65, einai san na pareis esi 1.377 gia to antistrofo. Gia kathe 2.65 units pou xaneis, kerdizeis (net) mia. Opote afto an kerdisei, pairnw 1.13 units net. An xasei, xanw 3 units, alla kerdizw net 3.54 apo ti Bwin. Me alla logia einai surebet, apla pairnw pio polla sti Bwin (0.54 net, anti 0.13 net).
Mon.
1 unit Davydenko -4.5 games over Soderling 2.31 Bwin. Den to vazw parapanw giati exw idi polla stoiximata pro-davy. Apla an kai einai pantou 3.5 to sprad, dinoun favori like 56% sto 3.5 to Davydenko. Poso na aksizei to akrivws 4? 10%? Na exei 46% tote to -4.5 ki egw 6%+ value. Me xalares ektimiseis. Den trelainomai, fisika tha katsei twra davy -4, lol, alla you have to bet it.
Mon.
1 unit sto Murray-Gonzalez under 36.5 games 3.33. Fagan max sto over pou evgalan apo ton kwlo tous kai twra einai value to under.
To under 36.5 einai ousiastika san na paizeis na paei to match sta 3 set. Afto to zitan stin BF sto 2.98. As poume oti true odds einai akoma pio katw, sto 3.10 as poume. Ara to value einai 3.33/3.10, ara 7.4%, akoma kai an valoume 3.1 gia true odds. An valoume 3, einai 11%. Alla miso, mipws paizei na paei sta 3 sets alla na paei over, px 7-6, 7-6, 7-5? Profanws einai poli diskolo, afou akoma kai ena set na paei 6-4, akoma kai me 2 tie-breaks de ginetai. Episis de ginetai me 3 fores 7-5 (pragma pou sinevi mia fora fetos, se match tou Hanescu). Sto Wimbledon, den einai katholou apithano ena game me 3 set na paei ov 36.5, afou ginetai oloi na kratan to servis tou kai na pan kai ta 3 sta 7, me ena apo ta 3 sto tie-break. Sto Garros fetos 3-setter exei paei mono 1/65 fores (ola 7-6, pali se match tou Hanescu, pou ta pire kai ta 2 afta ta match, prin apokleistei 3-0 apo Gonzalez). Me 1/65, eimaste akoma safe. An true odds gia 3-setter einai 3 kai valeis 1/65 afto na spaei sto over, pali vgainei konta 6% value.
Ela omws pou einai pithano akoma kai 4-setter na paei under 36.5. Den einai sinithismeno, alla einai poli pithanotero sto garros afto apo oti to 3-setter na paei over. Exei simvei 7/35! Peritto na pw oti an einai ontws anywhere near 20% twn 4-setters na pan ekei, tote to value ektinassetai se astronomika noumera. 20%x 39.6% (pou einai na paei se 4 sets)=7.8%. An to prostheseis sta alla, paei 40% to bet, ara einai panw apo 30% value. Profanws de xreiazetai na einai ola toso kala, mas ftane ena 10% twn 4-setters na pigainei (pou sigoura paei, kathws kai alla itan poli konta), gia na exoume a-ne-ta 35% na vgei kai 16% value.
Mon.
Μαλάκα...λέγε πως να τα περνάω τα lays γιατί δεν μπορώ να κάθομαι να ασχολούμαι ώρες!!!!
Swsto. Lay 1.50, einai san na pairneis esi 3 apodosi. Lay 1.10 einai san na paireis 10 apodosi.
Kala to theo mou den exw: Molis ksipnisa kai vlepw 2-0 kai aneta malista o Soderling.
Xanw na min parei apo ena set 1.5 units sto 1.99 (allo thread) kai xanw kai ena unit sto -4.5 2.31. Episis sxedon vevaia xanw pleon kai to na min parei 2 sets o davy, alles 3 units. Kala to vazw apo twra, giati den exei noima. Milame gia favores tou 1.48 kai tis spaw oles, theos apla. Toulaxiston afto to eixa surebatiasei. 0-3 kai -5.5 units. Alla pairnw apo to surebet me to set betting (na parei i oxi ena set o soder) 0.13 units, lol. An mporousa tha to espaga kai afto.
Imoun 69-91-1 +28.41 units
1-3 -5.37 units, kai paw 70-92-1 +23.04 units.
Mon.
thelei omws kai 0.6 unis sto 8.05 tou Gonzalez 3-0 sets to Murray stin Pinbet.
Mon.
Kala eimai theos, to palikari swzei triplo break-point, exei eknevristei o Murray kai les an to parei kai afto, to 2-0 set einai para poli konta. Kai paei kai xanei smash (meta apo prwto servis kai oti na nai epistrofi) gia na parei to game. Kai meta xanei alla 2 opou perase prwto servis kai apekrouse opws na nai o muray kai trwei kai to break apo panw. Ara 1-1 sets kai telos. Trella apla. Exw gamisei to simpan. Pantws paizei na to parei 3-1, einai poli kaliteros. Kai to 3-1 ftanei gia na xasoun ola ta bets mou.
Kai twra kanei tsaf!!!!!!! Tsaf re file. Imarton, paizei na exw dei kati tetoio 3 fores sti zwi mou sto tennis!
Loipon, me to pou kanei to break o Murray, paw kai paizw to 3-1 set gia kalipsi sto 4.90 BF. Alla den to dinw edw giati lew tzampa tha to kapsw to palikari. Vgika panw apo afto, alla kamia sxesi me to ti tha epairna an evgaine 3-0. An deite to match einai thavma pws pige 4 set apla. Xanei kai efkairies na parei to break pisw o Gonzalez. Me to tsf kai tis malakies.
Alla einai asillipto pws ta gamaw ola re file. Paei 4o set. Kai ton exei gamisei stegna o Gonzalez (to 3o to pire 6-0!). Kai thelw gia na piasw to under apla na min paei 7-6 (tie-break) kai na min to parei fisika o Murray. Paei 4-3 o Gonzalez xwris na apeileitai, enw o allos idrwnei gia na krataei ta servis. Kai ekei kanei o dikos mou to 5-3. Ela omws pou eimai ston Kukoc kai de mporw na kalipsw na mi faei break kai exoume alla. Entaksei lew, tu pousti, oute break-point den pairnei, tha parei break? 0-50 o Murray!!! Oti prepei gia na pame tie-break, alla eftixws spaei 0-50 to epomeno kai plirwnei to under. 1-1 loipon kai xanw 0.6 kai pairnw 2.33, ara 1-1 +1.73 units.
YTD:71-93-1 +24.77 units.
3 units sto na min paixtei tie-break sto 2.41 tis Bwin, fed-monfils. Tha surbetiasw argotera. Giati alliws kseroume oloi ti tha ginei...
Alla de viazomai ki olas, ta palikaria einai oti nanai. As sinexisoun na dinoun pragmata pou surebetiazontai. Na doume sto telos poios tha kataferei ti...
Mon.
To xava mou me -4 expekt 3 units 1.85 sto aris-rousi. Kai 3 sto +5.5 sti Bwin 1.85, gia imixrono afta. Pame gia to middle kai isws kapote mas katsei...
Apo ekei kai epeita, 1.5 units sto -2 1.85 tou Ari first quarter. Den einai toso value oso tou vazelou(giati oi pontoi mpainoun ligotero efkola), alla mi leme ta idia...
Mon.
Ok, as surebetiasw kai aftw, gia na paw gia ipno. 2 units loipon sto 1.84 tis BF na paixtei tie-break sto Monfils-Federer. To value vevaia einai sto na min paiktei sto 2.41, alla de thelw na exw 3 units anoikta. Opote pare 2 stin kalipsi. Ante, wra gia ipno...
Mon.
Δημοσίευση σχολίου