O TELIKOS APOPSE SE LIGI ORA...
1 UNIT STON STAVROS FLATLEY OTI THA KANEI KARAGKIOZILIKIA KAI THA TO PAREI MAZI ME TO 14.5 APODOSI
1.5 UN STO MIKRO XOREFTI AIDAN DAVIS STO 5.5. THA TOU EVAZA PARAPANO ALLA TO KAKO KATI PAROMOIO KAI SE IDIA ILIKIA KERDISE PERSI ARA XANEI APO EKEI AN KAI EINE PRAGMATIKA EKPLIKTOS....
AYTA PRE FLOP ... ANAMENO NA DO PERFORMANCES GIA UPDATES....
O NIKITIS KANEI PERFORM STIN MPROSTA STI VASILISSA... ELA KAI NA PAEI O KIPREOS ME TIN KOILIA APEXO NA TIS XOREYEI ZORBA NA GELASOUME....!!!!
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DISTIXOS DEN PIGE KALA O DAVIS...
XOREPSE PANO SE KINOUMENO DAPEDO ME MONO SE 4 PROVES KAI DEN PIGE POLI KALA...
eixe mono 24h na proetoimastei...
krima......
GAMISE O DIKOS MAS O STAVROS AKOMI 1.5 UNIT
EFKOLO
1 unit Cleveland +2 2.01 Pinbet. Arxizei. De mou poliaresei emena, alla isws aresei sto Stern. Kai vasika ew psithei ligo apo merikous allous pros pou klinoun pros ta ekei. Toulaxiston na mi xanw monos mou...
Mon.
Gavros +10.5 3 units, bwin. Asteio to 10.5, alla den prokeitai na to kratisw anyway....
Mon.
1.85 apodosi afto.
3 unit handicap imixronou gavros +5.5 1.85 Bwin kai 3 units handicap imixronou vazelos -4 1.85 expekt. Einai men 1.85, alla adinatw na pistepsw oti den einai value to middle afto. Paizw osa me afisoun anyway.
Mon.
Variemai na perimenw ti tha sikwsoun oi alloi. Paizw apo twra loipon 2 units Vazelo -10 2.19 (Pinbet). Mporei kaneis na to kanei kai surebet kai middle (side gia tin akriveia, afou mono x kai niki mporeis na kaneis), alla einai profanes oti to value einai me to +10.5, opou paizw kai ta pio polla. An vgei o vazelos 1 kai panw as xasw kai 0.62 units, ti na kanoume?
Mon.
Parte kai 4 units, ta opoia mporei idi na metrisei sta xamena kaneis, giati vgainoun apo apla mathimatika kai einai tis katigorias 'thin value', opou exw kapou 1/20 apo picks. Einai apo expekt:
Pao -2 1.85 first quarter. Den einai kan 'thin' to value. An vgalei i Pinbet handicap mporei na deite kati se styl +3 2.10 gia to gavro. Alla oi asxetoi kanoun mgkies epeidi den evgale akoma kaneis allos. Alliws tha epaizan middle kai edw. 2.5 units loipon poli aneta. Olos o kosmos pou vgazei to pswmi tou apo stoixima afta ta maxarei. Vevaia voithaei an pote pianeis kai kanena tetoio, pragma pou den exw dei kai poli teleftaia...
Kai alla 1.5 units sto 1st quarter under 38 points 1.85 Expekt kai pali. To total einai 153.5 kai opws tha lege kai o tsiampoussias, mallon gia under einai se tetoio noumero. 38 epi 4 mas kanei 152. Ela omws pou stin Ellada oi pio polloi pontoi mpainoun sto deftero imixrono kai afto exei na kanei para poli me tis voles sto telos. Eipame, o kosmos afta ta maxarei, alla o normal kosmos pianei kai kanena tetoio...To -2 pio panw einai kalitero akoma, giafto to vazw kai 1 unit parapanw. Kata vasi osa me afisoun tha ta paiksw kai tha kanw to stavro mou na allaksei i tixi. Apistefto pantws pws ksevrakwnontai se toso apla pragmata otan poun na vgaloun apodoseis prwtoi. Diladi dineis 8.5 pts favori to vazelo re expekt, ok afto, allwste einai pio konta sto swsto apo to 10.5 tis Bwin. Isws na einai kai to apolita swsto. Alla esi i idia pou vgazeis 8.5 pontous favori ti mia omada, ti dineis ligotero apo 8.5/4 gia prwto quarter, Diladi prwtoi fora vgazete quarters? Den kserete oti se etsi favori to skeptiko einai oti sto prwto imixrono kai sto prwto quarter to spread prepei na einai megalitero apo 8.5/2 kai 8.5/4 antistoixa?
Mon.
0.3 units sto Paok imixrono, Larissa teliko sto 76 pou dinei o Paddypower. Exw dei kai pio perierga pragmata na simvainoun sti zwi mou, to 76 einai gia allo prwtathlima mallon. Akoma kalitero einai to Larissa imixrono, Paok teliko, alla psaxnw kali apodosi. To 60 tis Expekt einai mia xara episis nomizw.
Mon.
Etsi giati perierga tin eida, tha paiksw merikes akomi paparitses. Ola apo paddypower: correct score 3-3 126 apodosi, correct score 4-3 326 apodosi, correct score 3-4 501 apodosi, correct score 4-4 351 apodosi. Ola apo 0.1 units.
IT IS JUST A GAME! Stin Italia an den itan oi teleftaies agwnistikes, opou kathe xrono mpainoun kati 30-35 goal se mia agwnistiki (thimamia mia me 48 nomizw), o mesos oros goal tha itan 1.5 ana paixnidi...
E, ki emeis kamia fora, otan 'apousiazei i skopimotita' mporei na kanoume kana trello score. Sto Paok-Ael, sigoura apousiazei i skopimotita..
Mon.
Kai 0.4 units telos sto Larissa imixrono, Paok teliko 26 apodosi (pantou toso dinei more or less, Bwin for one). An perimenei kaneis isws vrei parapanw sto antallaktirio, alla to zitan 28, opote mallon de tha vrei poli kalitero gia megalo poso.
Pera, ap'tin plaka, ok, profanws de tha vgoun afta, alla de xreiazetai na einai stimeno to match gia na vgei i anatropi. An tixei kai einai, peritto na pw oti opoiodipote apo ola afta, tha exei aftomata tixi megali kai oi apodoseis einai terasties. Ara kati ginetai na katsei. Omws kai pera apo to stisimo, o Paok den paizei gia tipote, kai i Ael, afou ekane ton ponto pou ithele gia na mi len oti ta gamise ola ta matia, den exei problem na xasei ki olas. De mporw na fantastw giati na riskaroun travmatismous kai na mi paiksoun ligo xalarouita, ara to over exei terastia tixi edw, kai mallon kapou tha to pickarw. E, otan exeis tin pihtanotita na min iparxoun polla sklira markarismata kai na iparxei psiloasidosia, den einai toso apithano oso se ena normal match na ginoun kai mistiria scores, anatropes, klp. An eixan allaksei simantika tis apodoseis, tha elega ok, pontareis pali sto an nomizeis oti einai stimeno. Alla apo ti stigmi pou den tis allazoun, makari vevaia na einai stimeno alla to trello edw mporei na erthei kai xwris na einai stimeno. An dineis tis idies apodoseis me vroxi klp mesa sti mesi tou prwtathlimatos, einai dinaton na deneis akrivws tis idies se adiaforo match, me poli kalitero kairo, kai me tin pithanotita opoiadipote apo tis dio omades na paiksei me allages? Oso gia stisimo, kaka ta psemmata, ta stisimata otan vgainoun einai apla dwra, an den ta stinoume emeis oi idioi, ti na poume? Mporeis na peis 'pairnei kai fwtaki, eixame kai ekeino to 4-3 (ME TA 3 GOAL TOU ATHANASIADI MALAKA SANTOS) persi sto alkazar' klp, alla ok, afta einai allis sxolis pragmata.
Opws kai na exei, 1.1 units ta petaw ki olas, ligo me noiazei, tetoia lefta se tetoio spot ta paizw anyway. Eidika otan o proedros mias omadas einai megalometoxos sto casino tou Rio kai stin alli persi epairne gnwstos opados tilefwno sta grafeia kai elege 're paidia, kai meis Paok eimaste, min ta paizete monoi sas, parte kai kana tilefwno na konomisoume ki emeis'.
Mon.
Imoun YTD:57-77-1 +28.53 units
Xanw 2 units gia cavs prwtathlima kai 1 gia to hcap simera, kai paw YTD:57-79-1 +25.53 units. Toulaxiston re koufales pros xasate ki eseis mazi mou simera...
Kala oi cavs allou fun park apla...
Mon.
2 units sto Soderling na kerdisei ton prwto ponto tou match kontra sto Nadal avrio, 1.90 bwin. To paizw more like 1.5 units, alla tha valw 2 kai tha kalipsw ligo an eimai ksipnios avrio. Nomizw oti afto to bet einai kako mono an o Soderling kerdisei to kerma kai epileksei na ipodexthei ti mpala. Epsaksa kai de vriskw pouthena na kanei kati tetoio. To styl tou allwste kai i diafora dinamikotitas apo to Nadal einai tetoia pou de nomizw na to dokimasei. Einai big server kai den einai kanenas Fed gia na paiksei mindgames me Nadal, afou se tetoia periptwsi kserei oti to mind game pio pithano einai na faei ton idio. Epipleon exei epileksei na servirei kai sto wimbledon kai pire ton prwto ponto.
Apo tin alli, o Nadal pantote epilegei na ipodexthei ti mpala, giafto kai dinei toso poli (1.80) na parei ton prwto ponto.
Oi book provlepoun 27 pontous sto match, opote 18-9. Afto simainei oti provlepoun kai na kratisei 9/14 servis tou, pou einai 64%. Alla as poume oti kapoia pithanotita gia ena break tha exei, opote as poume mono 8/14 gia ta servis tou. Einai kai pali 57%. Ousiastika me Soderling de nomizw oti i provlepsi einai kan gia ena olokliro break, alla as poume kapws etsi. Kai pali omws to 57% einai isws ligo. Giati an i provlepsi einai gia 57% kathe fora pou servirei kai einai gia 3-0 set se styl 6-3, 6-3, 6-3, tote pio pithano na trwei break otan vrethei ena break pisw, para stin arxi. Genika stin arxi prepei na exei estw kai ligaki kaliteri pithanotita na kratisei to servis.
Giafto tha faei 2 units kai tha kalipsw ti mia in running sti BF, opou apokleiw an servirei (pou tha servirei) na min einai toulaxiston 2.50 to break.
Mon.
Vasika na diefkrinisw gia pio panw oti ennow to prwto GAME tou match, giati dinoun stoixima kai gia prwto ponto. Kai ekeino einai value kata tin apopsi mou vevaia, alla de th ato pickarw, an kai to exw paiksei.
Pantws den einai stegna mathimatika to parapanw bet mou. Einai kai apopsi. O Soderling mporei na min einai o kaliteros tenistas tou kosmou, eidika sto xwma, alla molis kerdise to Ferrer, pou einai kai 9 theseis panw tou sto tablo (14 me 23) kai eidikos sto xwma. O Nadal de diskoleftike vevaia katholou me to Hewitt, alla o Hewitt paizei pio konta sto diko tou styl (tou Nadal) kai ara den exei elpida enantion tou. Fisika oute o Soderling exei elpida enantion tou Nadal gia na kerdisei, exei omws kapoies elpides na to diskolepsei toulaxiston. De ginetai na ton diskolepse toso o Markos Daniel, noumero enas theos kserei ti, kai na poume oti de mporei o Soderling.
Proswpika goustarw kai to ov 26.4 pts alla exei pesei poli i apodosi (me prolave allos). Episis koitaw to first set over 9.5 points stin Expekt. Dinei 2.70. Mporei na to soutarw. O Nadal einai fisika to gnwsto junkie Nadal. Tipote den einai apithano gia afton. Alla meta apo 2 seri match opou diskolevetai o Fed kai taftoxrona meta pou apokleistike o Djoko, kai meta apo diki tou toso aneti niki, einai kapws pio pithano na deiksei mia kapoia arxiki xalarotita. Diladi exei mia meria tou tablo pou den exei Fed, den exei Djoko, den exei Del Potro, den exei Tsonga, den exei pleon Ferrer, exei enan Verdasco pou einai mallon xeiroteros apo olous aftous, enan kseplimeno pleon Davydenko pou de dinei oute 40% na apokleisei to Verdy kai enan Soderling, noumero 23, pou kalos einai mwre, alla den einai gia xwma. Pote den einai apithano na vrei kinitro gia na to dialisei apo tin arxi o palaviaris aftos, alla einai toulaxiston kapws pithanotero oti o Soderling oti einai na diekdikisei tha to diekdikisei apo to prwto set, opws oloi pou prospathisan gia ti megali ekpliksi so far (Acasuso kai Mattie me Fed, Kohlscreiber me Djoko, Daniel me Nadal). Na to pw alliws, an einai na liksei 18-9 se games, to pithanotero den einai 6-3 ola ta sets, ala kati se styl 6-4, 6-3, 6-2.
Mon.
Ena akoma math play: Will Andy Murray win more than one set? No 7.30, 1 unit.
Apla mathimatika: To no-vig line einai kati ligotero apo 3.33 gia ton Cilic na kerdisei. 70% diladi kerdizei o Murray kai 30% o Cilic (apo 29.9-30.1 me vasi bf kai pinny). To novig line gia to Cilic exactly 3-2 sets win einai sto 11, diladi 9.1% kathetai 3-2 Cilic. To ipoloipo 30-9.1=20.9% kathetai 3-1 i 3-0 cilic. Sto 7.30 to value einai massive...
Mon.
Loipon ok, mou edwsan sta nevra. Eipa na min kanw surebet pick, alla to na min allazoun tin apodosi meta apo dio max-paroli bet, katantaei aseveia. Opote:
3 units ston Murray to win 1.43 (Expekt, Pinbet, Betfair).
0.45 units sto akrives score Cilic 3 Murray 2 (sets) se apodosi 10 sto Stanjames (i BF eixe 10.5, prin to parw, tha ksanavgei pantws).
0.75 -akoma- units stous ilithious tis Bwin sto na min parei parapanw apo ena set o Murray (diladi Cilic 3-0 i Cilic 3-1) 7.20.
Me ta liga mathimatika pou kserw, an kerdisei o Murray, se sinolo 4.2 units risked epistrefei 4.29. An erthei 3-2 Cilic, epistrefei 4.5 units. Kai an o theos agpisei epitelous kai tous noikokirides anti gia tous malakes tempelides tis Bwin, kai o Croatis kerdisei eite 3-0 eite 3-1, epistrefei 5.475 units. Emena mou fainetai surebet afto... Se vathos xronou to plirwnoun oi malakes pou dinoun 50% edge se ena stoixima kai de noiwthoun kai kastano na to allaksoun. Twra in the short term mporei pali na ksekwliastoun...
Mon.
Einai dinaton afto to pragma me Bwin re pousti? It beggars belief. Enoiwsan epitelous kai eriksan to Murray na parei panw apo 1 set, vevaia to pigan ekei pou einai value pleon to antistrofo, afou to dinoun 1.27 (3.40 afto pou mexri prin ligo edine 7.30...), alla ok, einai mikro to value kai pes oti itan poli anoiktoi giafto to dinoun. Ekei omws pou pragmatika ksineis to kefali sou einai pou dinoun twra to idio bet gia ton Cilic kai kanoun pali xontri malakia pou na surebetiazetai!
Na min parei parapanw apo ena set o Cilic 1.85. As to valw 1.5 units kai afto. Ti na pw pia gia tin asxetosini tous re pousti mou? Diladi apla pragmata: 100/3.3=30.33 (niki cilic), 100/7.55 (pou dinei i pinbet gia to murray 3 cilic 2)=13.24, kai 100/1.85=54.05, ta athroizeis kai vgainei 3% surebet. Einai dinaton na kanoun tetoies malakies? Anyway. Den pickarw twra to surebet, apla enimerwnw, pick 1.5 units apo to 1.85 pou eipame.
Mon.
2 units Kohlscreiber +3.5 games 1.75 Bwin vs Robredo. Eilikrina de mporw na vgalw akri. Einai akrivws moirasmeno to match, giati na einai 3.5 pontous outsider o Kohl???
Alli mia apodosi pou evgalan apo ton kwlo tous.
Mon.
Alli mia asteia apodosi einai to under 41.5 2.10 gia to Tsonga-Del Potro. 2 units kai ekei. Apodeikniei kai pali oti otan vgazoun apodosi xwris ti voitheia tis bf (to market sto set betting den einai liquid akoma) i tis Pinbet, ta kanoun pnta mouni.
Pairnw analoges apodoseis apo to Verdasco-Davydenko: Vgainei me to novig line oti einai peripou 36.7% na paei 3 sets, 25.6% na paei 5 sets kai to ipoloipo na paei 4 sets. Ola paizontai loipon sto ti ginetai 37.7% pou paei sta 4 sets. Ti ginetai ekei? Paei panw i katw? Pira apodoseis apo to Verdy-Davy, giati einai akrivws panomoiotipi i apodosi tou favori ekei. Ti ginetia loipon otan paei sta 4 sets? I apantisi einai oti de mporei se kamia periptwsi na einai simantiko favori to over, akoma kai otan paei 4 sets. Otan ena match einai klassiko gia set, i grammi gia ta games einai sto 39, 39.5, 40. Eniote 40.5. 39, 40, 41 einai ta pragmatika noumera kleidia gia ta 4-setters. Kai ta 3 edw einai sto under. To 42 einai episis arketa kleidi, apo kei kai pera, pote mou den exw dei line sto 43 (gia garros). Ekei pleon den einai kleidi. Akoma loipon kai an perimeneis oti oi dio paiktes einai dinatoi ka tha gemisoun ta sets tous, de mporei sto 41.5 me 4 sets to under na exei poli katw apo 50%. Gia paradeigma fetos sta 4-setters einai 18/28 (64%)to under 41.5. Einai diladi swsti i skepsi oti o del potro me ton tsonga mporoun na gemisoun ta sets edw, alla otan pas ti grammi sto 41.5, einai diskolo gia opoiadipote diada paiktwn na exoun panw apo 50% na pan over se 4-setter. As poume omws oti exoun toso kai akoma parapanw, 60% px (unrealistic) na pan over se 4-setter aftoi oi dio: Ara 40% na pan under. 40%x37.7%=15.08%. Ara oi tixes tou under akoma kai se etsi extreme senario einai 15.08%+36.7% (3-sets, ara under)= 51.78%. Sto 2.10 einai 8.7% value...
Diladi pare twra an einai 50-50 ta 4-setters:paei 55.55% to under kai 16.5% to value. Einai sick, vasika valto 3 units. Einai way sick, full 3 units. An skefteis oti paizei aneta na einai 55% px na paei under 41.5 to 4-setter, ginetia akoma kalitero, full 3 units loipon.
Mon.
Me to idio skeptiko: Will fernando verdasco win more than 1 set? No 4.54 1 unit. Vgainei kapou 11% value.
Mon.
Re pousti oti den kanw pick vgainei... To over 27 kai 26.5 tou soderling einai pleon near lock, afou pire to prwto set. Kai to pire 6-2 o theos! Alla toulaxiston an epaiza to ov 9.5 games tha exane apo ekei pou den to perimena kai tha travousa tis vizares mou. Pantws pire ton prwto ponto kai to prwto game. Fisika servire prwtos. To mpereketi me ton Cilic pantws de vgike. Exei xasei 7-5 kai 7-6 ta dio prwta, opote twra apomenei na doume apla an tha xasei i an tha parei prwta 2 set prin xasei, wste na mas gamiseis teleiws...
O kariolis tha paei na mou petaksei twra eksw ton Nadal kai tha trelathw...
Imoun 57-79-1 +25.53 units.
O cilic de mas ekane ti xari. Exase 7-5 kai 7-6 ta dio prwta kai katerrefse fisika meta. Eixa 3 units sto 1.43 na xasei, 0.45 na kerdisei 3-2 kai 1.75 units sinolo sto na kerdisei eite 3-0 eite 3-1.
Diladi sinolo 5.2 units evala kai pernw pisw 4.29, ara to metraw ws 0-1 -0.91 units.
Vgike omws to na min parei panw apo ena set o Cilic, opote 1-0 kai +1.28 units apo kei. Episis vgike o Soderling kai allo 1.80 units apo kei. Sinolo 2-1 +2.17 units, alla exw alla 200 units ston aera simera, opote proswrino to update.
YTD:59-80-1 +27.70 units. Mono min kanei kamia malakia kai kerdisei o soderling, giati apo ena bet perimenoume na paroume sovara fragka...
Mon.
Leme edw kai 2 vdomades (apo ti Madriti) oti o Nadal einai skatenia pesmenos, leme oti o Soderling einai kalos, leme leme, kai vlepoume tin poutsa kai pame kai karfwnomaste. Xwris na vgalw ena sovaro fragko. 42 i niki, alla ok afto, na min paiksw over ta games? Gamw tin trella mou apla.
Alla eginan kai megales kafriles. Pifainw sto RolandGarros.com na vlepw statistika klp, kai einai akoma ekei me diafora monos stin korifi me tous parapanw asous o Carlovic, me ena gamimeno match! Alloi paiksaqn 4... Einai na trelainesai. An ekane 25, pou einai kai pali para polloi, tha eixame 6 units plus. O Roddick episis ta gamise.
0-2 kai -3 units apo afta. Vale kai 0-1 ta imixrona telika -0.7 units. Kai 0-1 -0.4 units ta akrivi scores.
Pirame omws to gamimeno to Verdasco par'ol'afta, NEVER IN FUCKING DOUBT! Exase 3-0 apo to Davydenko. O opoios me kseplirwse pou ton pistepsa 4 xronia prin. Eixe kanei poli kali poreia kai tote, alla den kalipsa o malakas. Mou xrwstouse lefta to palikari. Meta ton apokleismo Nadal eprepe na apokleistei o vardasco kai na paiksei katw apo 40 pontous, me 40 exana, me 39 kerdiza. Epairne ws 3-1 diladi, alla eftixws de mou evgale tin psixi. 1-0 kai +1.47 loipon apo to mono afto. 1-0 kai +.56 units apo to paroli me Denver +6. 1-0 kai +.81 units apo to paroli me Denver moneyline. 1-0 kai +.72 units apo to paroli me cleveland first half sto prwto match.
Episis 1-0 kai +3.54 units epeidi o Verdy den pire panw apo ena set.
5-3 +3.00 units.
Ara paw YTD:64-83-1 +30.70 units. Pali kala meta tin tromara pou pira.
2 units na min parei panw apo 1 set o Haas me to Federer 1.18. Vgainei value, ti na kanw?
Mon.
Mou fanetai prepei na paizw mono surebet. Eprepe kai afto na to surebetiasw. Apistefta kakos o Haas, apla ekswpragmatika kakos o Federer. Tennis sxolikou epipedou. O Haas einai toso kako sto xwma, pou ftasame na paixtoun 21 games, kai akoma den eixe parei enan ponto, oxi game, PONTO, se prwto servis tou Fed!!! Kerdizei twra 2-0, i mallon xanei o Fed. Prepei na paizw mono surebets telika, opws itan kai afto.
O Fed an kai skata, itan kaliteros sto prwto set kai i moni elpida tou allou pou ta exane ola me 0, itan na krata to servis tou. O Fed frontise gia afto. Pige tie-break kai ta stelne opou kai o Nadal xthes. Sto deftero o Haas diskolepse akoma parapanw to Fed sto pws tha tou to xarisei, giati tou edwse kai break. Pleon o Fed eprepe na vrei tropo na faei break apo anthrwpo pou den tou xe parei oute 30 se ena servis, ta pio polla itan me 0. E, to katafere!
Den ton afise na simmetexei kan, ta petouse ola eksw.
64-84-1 +28.70 units. Toulaxiston o Tsonga sto 55 na to parei, exei pleon kaliteres elpides, an kai einai 3.00 apodosi na perasei ton Del Potro. Kai fisika den to xw kanei pick edw.
Mon.
To violi mou omws egw. 1.5 units na min parei panw apo ena set o Soderling, 1.99. Vgainei fisika kai afto surebet, einai 3.5% value efkola, alla kai ti na leei, edw egw exw gamisei ta panta, ekei tha kollisw?
Mon.
Ναι...με ακούτε;;;;
Ο Federer είμαι...
Τώρα μπορώ να κερδίσω το ματς, αφού ο Σάλπι έχασε το στοίχημα;;;
Over 39 games 1.80 1.5 units Expekt gia to Tsonga-Del potro, kalipsi.
Mon.
Nai re Fed twra mporeis...
Exw to -5.5 games o Fed 1.55. Kai i apodosi paei -7.5 1.70, kati tetoio. Den to xw dwsei edw. Kai xanei einai 3 games katw me ta 2 prwta set, ena katw meta to trito, kai paei kai kerdizei afto. 6-0 6-2 ta teleftaia kai kleinei sto -9. Diladi kerdizw egw, alla kerdizoun kai oi asxetoi kwloi pou paizoun to -7.5. Oxi re pousti, pane 6-2 6-3 ekei na xasoun gamw tin poutana mou.
Egw afton ton pousti to Roddick tha ton perasw. Mallon oxi, de tha perasei, alla set tha parei.
Giati paizw na min parei 0.5 units sto 5.10 tis Bwin. Tha to parei 7-6 sigkekrimena, tha vgalei olo to match xwris na spasei, alla set tha parei.
Mon.
O Kohlscrieiber de mporese na xasei mono me 2 pontous to teleftaio set, ki etsi exasa 2 units se kati pou eixe panw apo 25% value. Toso asteia apodosi pou den ipirxe analogo line gia na kalipsw kan. Itan 0 to handicap pantou, oute i Bf evgale handicap gia afto to line. Epaikse kai kala, krima to palikari, to gamisa.
64-84-1 +28.70 units imoun kai paw twra YTD64-85-1 +26.70 units.
Mon.
Loipon as diasfalisw oti de tha to parei to tournoua o arapis o Tsonga. Gia alli mia fora arxise slow kai exase rompa to prwto set. 0.1 units oti tha parei to tournoua sto 75 tis BF.
Thelei kai 1 unit under 76.5 first half gia to pao-osfp. Idio skeptiko me to quarter. Toulaxiston na doume theama an de vgei..
Mon.
Expekt to teleftaio.
Re malakes, IPARXW????????
O Tsonga paei 5-2 panw, xanei efkairia gia to 6-2, les ok tha tan break, paizei meta to servis tou na to kanei 6-3, kai to xanei kai afto. Kai paei tie-break kai de xanei toulaxiston na kleidwsei to under. Kerdizei tie-break kai paizontai 13 pts anti 9. Diladi na mou gamisei kai to under. Apla den iparxw...
Mon.
Re malaka o del portis, exei xasei posa break points klp kai pote paei kai to kanei to break? sto 4-4, kanto re gamioli sto 5-5, na paei 7-5, na paei 39 total games na kanw side, i parto sto tie break na katsei to middle. Toulaxiston ekatse i meria pou eixa to poli marouli. Exasa 1.5 units me to over 39 kai pira 3.3 apot o under 41.5, ta middle tha ta metraw 1-1 (an kai to 1-0 otan vgeis panw i 0-1 otan vgeis katw einai pio logiko, apla epeidi exw tin antipwsi oti moiazei pio swsto otan katsei akrivws sti mesi na to metriseis 2-0, tha exw kai antistoixa 1-1 otan den kathetai).
Vale kai 0.1 xamena gia Tsonga na parei to garros kai exoume 1-2 +1.7 units.
YTD:65-87-1 +28.40 units.
Loipon 1-1 kai -.45 units sto middle imixronou. Ennoeitai oti xanei dio voles o v-span gia na xasw to middle, kai epithesi xanoume sto telos kai ola gamise ta...
Xanw 1.5 units sto un 38 first quarter tou basket. Xanw 1 unit sto un 76.5 first half.
Kerdizw 2.13 units apo to -2 first quarter. Sinolo 2-3 -.82 units. Toulaxiston tha parw apo monfils, epeidi to kalipsa. Giati an den to kalipta, de tha exane to diplo break point o Roddick! Alla an deite pio katw se allo thread exw 0.6 stin kalipsi. Ante na perimenw ligo gia to update giati molis ekane to 5-3 afou eswse diplo break-point o arapaklas. Vasika to kanw update apo twra, tha to parei sta sigoura, afou kalipsa...
Xanw loipon me Monfils 0.5 sti mia kalipsi (lay 1.50, deite parakatw thread) kai 0.1 stin alli kalipsi (lay 1.10, episis sto katw thread). Kerdizw omws 2.05 net apo to 3-0 tou sti Bwin. Ara net 1.45 units. Ara sinolo gia twra 3-3 +.63 units (na'tos to kane, ksanaspse kai telos).
Ara YTD:68-90-1 +29.03 units. Antexw akoma re mounia... Alla gamw to theo mou, de mporouse na middliasei to first half? As middliasei to game (9 or 10) kai as min to exw edw pick (exw mono to -10 me +10.5) alla pou(tsa-ros)?
Mon.
Kai i apantisi sto iparxiako mou erwtima einai oxi, den iparxw. Vazei to teleftaio triponto o theodosic (i mipws erzegk?) kai pairnw net 2100, to xanei kai pairnw ta lefta mou pisw. Kai afto giati eixa kai paroli me to gavro +10.5 opote kalipsa parapanw sto -8.5.
Den iparxei i gkantemia mou apla. Ekswpragmatiko. Apo kei pou tha vgaina 2.73 units panw, xanw kai 0.62, akrivws sxedon osa pira sto last update kai paw (to metraw 1-1,afou etsi eipame gia middles) YTD:69-91-1 +28.41 units.
An einai dinaton re pousti omws. Me etsi piesi apo ekei sto pio adiaforo sout tis karieras tou, na mporeis na to pagwseis kai na paikseis bf, tha dinei 65% na to valei. Kai omws to xanei gia na mi middliasw. For fuck's sake...
Mon.
Πιστεύω πως έτσι όπως το πέρασα στο πινακάκι είναι αποδεκτό...αλλά με έχεις γαμήσει Σάλπι...μου φαίνεται θα σου δώσω τον κωδικό από το mail μου να κάνετε μόνοι σας τα updates!!!
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