0.5 units Agglia na mi mpei top-10 2.55 sti Bwin.
Tha eksigisw argotera. De vazw pio polla, giati tha exw alla pio sovara fade-jade bets. Pistevw oti tha paei ok to uk kai i dekada poli pithani, alla exoun ksefigei oi agglares. Ti 2.55?
Loipon ok now. Den exw polla na pw, einai ok i Jade, alla idi ginetai ziro surebet me BF. Poli pithano na mpei apla too much i apodosi.
Esthonia to beat France 1.85 Expekt, 3 units.
Epitelous as apofasisoun re paidia: Poso pianoun oi psifoi twn epitropwn? Diladi miso, i Esthonia sas fanike gia tragoudi pou de tha aresei stis epitropes? Oso apo blok, exei kai to Sovietiko kai panta skorarei kala kai me to ditiko, afou einai poli ditikis aisthitikis genika. Alla as girisoume stis epitropes. O Rybak exei kalo tragoudi, alla ipotithetai oti tha skisei kwlous kai tha faei paidia me tis epitropes. Tha ton flomwsoun sto 12ri ipotithetai. I Jade (uk) afti ti stigmi einai trito (mazi me tourkia) favori sti BF. Apo pou? Apo to aggliko mplok? Oxi, epeidi perimenoume na skisei kwlous kai na faei paidia stis epitropes. I Islandia exei kales pithanotites na to sikwsei ipotithetai (25 dinei, 7o fav, ekei) xwris blok kai afti. Giati tha xisoun panw tous oi epitropes. I Malta exei kapoies pithanotites na paei kala, oxi toso logw apixisis sto koino (eidika me tosa polla arga kai kalotragoudismena favori fetos) alla me tin elpida na mas paroun pali ta flokia twn epitropwn. Kai i Gallia einai gia na gelaei o kosmos apo apopsi simmaxiwn. Alla par'ol'afta 8o favori. Diladi kontra xisidia apo tis epitropes? Entaksei, posa xeria kai poses pswles exoun aftes oi epitropes epitelous? Den einai dinaton na kathorisoun oli tin katataksi apo arxi ws telous. Something's got to give. Twra an atixisoume kai afta pou paiksoume kontra apodeixtoun ta mona pou tha voithisoun oi epitropes, paiksame kai xasame kai avrio tha eimai kana 4 units panw, an xasoun ola:)
Alla opoios fovatai as min paizei tzogo. I Esthonia exei parei akoma kai niki sxetika prosfata. To tragoudi einai ok, ta bloks ok. Profanws de mporei na exw mono egw dikio kai i agora na min kserei katholou ti tis ginetai. Sigoura exw ipotimisei kapws ti Gallia. Alla kai pali de mporei apo to fovo kai mono oti anoixtika me Gallia kontra, na pasarw se afto to matchup. If it loses, it loses.
Roumania na mpei 10da, 13.50 BF. 0.8 units.
Apla eprepe na dinei 5-6. Allo ena tragoudi pou otan to akousa gelousa. Kai elega oti tha einai test gia ta bloks to an tha perasei teliko. Alla sto clipaki akougotan poli xeirotero apo oti akoustike sto semi. Den perimenw kamia voitheia apo epitropes. Alla prokeitai gia alli mia xwra pou exei parapanw blok voting apo oti fainetai apo ti gewgrafiki tis thesi. Episis, einai mia megali xazomara, alla toulaxiston efxaristi xazomara. Meta pou tha baladiasei to mouni mas me 200 klapsomouniarika favori pou tha sxisoun kwlous klp me tis epitropes ola ma ooooola tous, isws kapoia apo ta klapsomouniarika na meinoun ligo pisw giati itan kai polla, itan anadromos o ermis, etixe na einai afta pou simmaxies den exoun, klp, kai na mpei mesa kai ena ligo pio efxaristw tragoudi 'with a little help from their friends'. Pistevw ena 12ri apo Moldavia to exoume logika etsi? Apo ekei kai epeita, eipame einai mia xwra pou exei paei polles fores psila. Opws fainetai apo to gegonos oti pairnoun 12ri 4 xronia seri apo Ispania, mallon exoun kai Roumanous tis diasporas pou den tsiggounevontai na steiloun sms. Den einai Voulgaroi, einai Roumanoi, me to Matei pinane ntoumani...
The Balcan girls they like to party like nobody like nobody...
0.5 units Roumania na paei kalitera apo Germania 2.10 Expekt
Ti Germania ti goustarw fetos, alla na mi leme ta idia. Posous tha voithisoun oi gamwepitropes? Posous re pousti mou? Kapoioi tha pan kai se xamila scores. Me dio xwres pou ipotithetai oti tis perimenoume xamila kai tis dio, dwse mou aftin pou exei kai kapoia pontakia sigoura, para na psaxnomai me tin alli pou den ta exei. Sto 2.10 toulaxiston...
Iceland na paei kalitera apo UK 2.5 units sto 2.00 tis Bwin
O monos logos pou den to evala 3, einai epeidi de me afinoun na pontarw polla. Opote de tha apeikonize kai poli tin pragmatikotita tou pws piga. Vasika oute 1.5 unit me afisan na pontarw, alla valto 2.5 giati to thewrw toulaxiston 60% bet. Profanws an sxisei Gallia kai Uk, tha skisei kai to kwlaraki mou. Alla eidika otan exoun na kanoun me tetoious antipalous, to risko meiwnetai. An gia Roumania klp ipirxe provlima sto poso rolo telika tha paiksoun oi epitropes, edw afto to provlima den iparxei. Akrivws idio styl tragoudia ta dio, me tis Islandias kalitero kat'eme. Idia fasi aniparktwn sxedon simmaxwn (me tin Iceland pali na exei pio pollous). Kserw oti exei kanei kalo promotion fetos i Agglia. Alla de nomizw oti to tragoudi diaforopoieitai se kati pros to kalitero se sxesi me tis Iceland. An i Islandi kourazei ligo me tis xeironomies me ta xeria (to parakanei ligo) i glikitati kata ta alla Jade, kourazei genika. Leei 18 fores ti frasi 'it's my time', diladi mia fora kathe 10 secs. Eipan stous agglous na kanoun apla ta tragoudia tous gia na ta katalavainei i pleba, kai to paraxesan. Nomizw exei aneta 55-60% na paei pio panw i Iceland, to legomeno 'wrong team favoured' edw. Afto exei proklithei en pollois epeidi oi Aggloi pontaroun poli sti Eurovision. Etsi i apodosi tous exei kseftilistei, dinei 14, ena tragoudi pou eprepe na dinei 75 minimum gia mena. Kai afto perase stis apodoseis twn matchups. Oi Islandoi me ti na pontaroun? Me pagakia? Tous fagan ta lefta oi trapezes.
Ante kali Eurovision, provlepw agria poutsa na trww, alla de gamietai? Eidika ta matchups kai tipota na min piasw avrio, ola plin isws Rwsias me Gallia, pali tha ta epaiza. Eidika to Iceland-Uk kai to Estonia-France.
Wpa ena akoma: Se keino to groupaki me russia, france, uk, germany, spain, evala 0.1 units na to parei i Germany san kalipsi.
Einai apo bwin. Eixa ti rwssia sto 7.65, alla opws eipa sto 17 to skeftomoun gia Germany. E twra sto 20, aksizei nomizw ws kalipsi. Profanws to pio pithano einai uk, alla sto 20 tha tin timisw ti Germany an kai den to polivlepw.
Σάββατο 16 Μαΐου 2009
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5 σχόλια:
Alla 1.5 units sto under 18.5 points tou Ray allen sto teleftaio match. Apo bwin.
Mon.
Head-to-head:
TurkeyVsUK UK 2.10 1 unit
TurkeyVsIceland Iceland 3.55 1 unit
Estonia top-4 8 0.5 unit
Greece not to enter top-10 7.4 0.5 unit
Imoun 41-48-1 +28.20 units.
Pame twra na kanoume ti souma. Tha ta parw me ti seira pou ta edwsa. Thimizw oti tis poutses pou efaga sto semi, tis simperielava already.
Ena xameno kai -2 units apo to russia vs France. 107-91 xasame.
Gallia 21-25 xameno kai -.5 units. Itan nekro opws katalava pros to telos alla an iksera proswpika tous epitropelarxes tha iksera kai na to apofigw. To tragoudi itan gia gelia, to draw episis, o antagwnismos psilos. Tha exei poli endiaferon na doume ti pire apo koino kai ti apo epitropes afto.
Ena kerdismeno kai 1.2 units kerdos apo ta 3units on Andorra to give 10 or 12 to Spain. Eipame...
Malta na mpei 4da, ena xameno kai -0.4 units. Kseftilistikame edw. Alla oxi mono emeis, kai oi epitropes episis...As ta dinan ligaki moirasmena kai mporei afto men na min pigaine kai pali pouthena, alla de tha pigaine oute i poutana i Gallida. Kai sigoura de tha mpaine 5da to Uk. Pantws itan kako bet anyway. Kai einai krima giati eixa simadaki kai stin Islandia kai stin Estonia apo otan ta prwtoakousa, kai piga kai karfwthika me ti Malta. Kai ta alla ta eixa vevaia, alla logw kai sigkiriwn (den evriska megalo poso stin apodosi pou ithela sto 'winner without norway' gia Iceland) de mporesa na kanw to killing. Amartia giati tin ipologiza ipervolika tin Iceland.
Malta na mpei dekada, allo ena xameno kai -1.5 units. Na edw ksenerwnw. Vale Estonia gia dekada pou mexri kai simera edine ligo panw apo 2, na goustareis. Amartia, kai ta dio ta simeiwsa ws ta pithana na kanoun ti megali ekpliksi (diladi ti 2i thesi) kai den ta epaiksa kai poli swsta. To Malta top-4 de me peirazei toso, giati ekei metraei pio poli to parelthon tis. To Malta top-10 me peirazei omws, giati an einai na paei aplws aksioprepws, de mporei na eixe parapanw pithanotites apo estonia px. Tespa. Idi mazeftike arketi xasoura. Pame parakatw.
Me diafora to pio aneto winner mou itan to Russia 9i-12i, ena stoixima pou eks'orismou einai to pio diskolo na vgei 'aneta' (giati mporei na to xaseis eite pros ta panw eite pros ta katw). Diladi gia na peis irthe aneta prepei na erthei 10o i 11o. E irthe 11o, me ena ponto diafora apo to 10o! Alla to gamato einai oti eixe 15 pontous diafora apo to 13o (ousiastika 16, giati iperisxie se isovathmia) kai 16 pontous diafora apo to 8o!!!!!! Kai poli megali diafora diladi (19% twn sinolikwn tis pontwn) apo ta oria kai idia diafora panw-katw. To xa 0.5 units sto 4.75, ara edwse +1.88 units.
Epeita einai to groupaki twn 5 pou eixan idi prokrithei. Eixame 0.2 units tin Arkouda kai 0.1 ti Germania gia kalipsi, afto egw to thewrw ena xameno profanws, alla still -0.3 units. Toulaxiston xasame apo uk kai oxi apo France giati tha tsiriza.
Pame sto 5.9 tis Iceland gia tetrada. Afto me to commission ginetai 5.655. Afto vevaia me to max commission, egw exw megali ekptwsi giati paizw kai poker ekei, alla an kapoios to epaize apo edw xwris ekptwsi, itan san na paizei kati me apodosi 5.655. Ara to kerdos me to 0.5 units pou evala einai 2.33 units.
I gamw agglia mpikes ti 10da aneta kai ara allo ena xameno kai -.5 units ekei. Kai afti sprwxtike ligo parapanw apo oti pisteva kai poli parapanw apo oso ilpiza. Dekada tha empaine, i Gallia me peirakse pio poli.
Eftixws i Estonia esxise ti mounara tis Gallias (2 theseis kai 22 points diafora) kai kerdisame ena vari kai +2.55 units.
I Roumania me to zori mpike stin 20da, oxi 10da. Xameno kai -.8 units loipon. Alla de me xalase giati to 13 (kai to 16-16.5 pou epaiksa meta) ta edwsa pisw sti BF se apodosi 6.6, 6.2, 5 klp). Psifise kai prwti i Ispania, tous edwse ena 7raki kai oi asxetoi nomizan oti afto einai kalo, enw stin ousia itan i tafoplaka tous (afou tus dinei panta 12). Emeina me 30 euro ekei panw kai an empaine epairna 1350 net, san na to eixa sto 45 apodosi diladi. Entaksei an prolavainan na mou paroun ki alla sto 5, tha mporousa na kleidwsw kai 150 kerdos aneta, alla meta arxise na anevainei. De gameis...
Par'ol'afta tha balkan girls vgikan ma thesi panw apo ti Germania kai 5 pontakia (40-35). Opote ena kerdismeno kai +.55 units.
Telos 2.5 units net kai apo Iceland vs Uk. Na einai kala o tsiampoussias pou mou eipe oti anevike ki olas sto 2.20 meta kai to epaiksa kai alla (enw malista eixan dextei maximum bets, afto simantiko giati simainei oti otan i Bwin trwei arketo stoixima se mia meria,edw se uk, se afinei na parakampseis ta limits stin alli meria). Episis edwse o tsiampoussias kai to 3.55 na paei kalitera apo turkey, alla den prolava na to dwsw ki egw, imoun se betting frenzy. Kai ekei me afisan na parakampsw to maximum oi paiktes, kalo simadi afto. Opws kalo simadi otan akoma kai o ale dinei pswmaki.
Ola mazi 6-7 +5.01 units. Not bad, kapws etsi piga kai stin pragmatikotita. Xathikan efkairies gia to megalo score alla ekana kai kwlofardies pou de vgika apla sta lefta mou i ligo panw. Kapou 2.5-3k net prepei na ekana.
YTD:47-55-1 +33.21 units.
Mon.
By the way, sta imitelika eixa ligi atixia opws apodeixtike twra pou vgikan oi vathmologies tous. I dania perase gia 9 ponous, enw i Serbia den perase gia 6. O Rybak kerdise kai ekeinon ton imiteliko alla mono me 21 pontous apo azerbahijan. To eixa kanei 'kati san sure bet' na dwsw to 2.08 (lay diladi) gia Norvigia sto semi kai na parw to 2.80 gia teliko. Me to skeptiko oti diskola na mi vgei oute to ena oute to allo, enw (epeidi ston imiteliko den eixe krites, mono televoting kai oi dinatoi tou antipaloi oloi itan apo lobby) ipirxe mia periptwsi na vgoun kai ta dio mazi. An mporouse na kerdisei xwris krites ta lobby tis elladas (4i sto semi) tis Estonias (3i) kai twn azerwn (2oi), tote tha ekane peripato ston teliko. Tha tan kala na vgoun kai ta dio mazi, alla de mporeis na ta exeis ola.
Mon.
kati san sure bet...
opos leme kati san shoot?
ala walter berry(!!!!)
alla pou na xeris esi mono o ''mpasketikos'' tsiampousi(a)s to piase ....
kai xevrakotos kai xekolomenos...
P.S. : Pira xthes malaka 8.250$ se live event tis betfair sto nottingham... irtha 1os!!!! tha se paro til gia leptomereies kai hands.... mori xevrakoti...
vas
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