Merika apo Eurovision

Malta na mpei 4ada sto 6.50 tis Bwin, 0.4 units.
Exasa (apo apopsi pick, giati to paiksa egw), to Rwssia apo 9i-12i 4.75 gamwto. As mi xasw kai afto. I xontri apo ti Malta exei mia 3i kai mia 2i thesi stis dio proigoumenes simmetoxes tis. I mia itan to 1998 opou itan tied for first mexri tin teleftaia pou tha psifize kai stin teleftaia vgike 3i me mikri diafora apo ton prwto-i(Dana International). Pige mia xara para to televoting, kai stis 4 xwres pou eixan epitropi, pige ligo kalitera akoma. Px i epitropi tis Tourkias tou edwse 10ri, an itan mono televoting na min pw ti tha epairne apo kei. I defteri thesi itan pisw apo to runaway train tis Paparimbo. Se epoxi 100% televoting diladi.
Kata tin apopsi mou ekeines tis dio xronies eixe elaxista kalitero tragoudi apo oti exei fetos. Alla i diafora einai mikri kai den tin kanei to tragoudi. Oli i istoria me tin Chiara sti Eurovision einai oti einai tetrapaxi (kala, sti Malta mporei na einai kai top gkomena vevaia, makran o pio asximos laos tou kosmou, i Mis Malta vgainei gia 5 xronia, san ton Proedro tis dimokratias) kai oi ginaikes meta pou exoun dei 15 mounares pou kallista mporei na exei pidiksei o antras tous se kanena kwlobaro, meta pou exoun prasinisei apo to fthono, stelnoun sms iper tis xontris 'giati exei kali fwni'. I alitheia einai oti ontws exei para poli kali fwni kai afto einai poli kalo stoiximatika, gia to logo oti sto live kanei megali diafora. Otan akous klipakia gia na vgaleis apodoseis, o atalantos krivei kapws tin kaki fwni tou kai o talantouxos krivetai ligo sto poso kali fwni exei. Thimaste pws akougotan o Sakis tote? Kai de milame gia kanenan teleiwmeno, milame gia kalo epaggelmatia. Kai omws de mporouse na kripsei ti gimnia tis fwnis tou sto live. Ekei einai i dinami tis Chiara, exei fwni (mono) kai kserei na to deixnei. I iparksi epitropwn mporei na kleidwsei ti niki tis Norvigias, alla tha voithisei kai tin Chiara mallon. Vevaia i tetrada isws apodeixtei diskoli periptwsi giati iparxei i Norvigia kai o Sakis (pou diskola na xasoun tin tetrada) giafto paizw kai to parakatw...
Malta na mpei dekada 1.5 units
Afto dinei 2.06 sti Bf, tha to metrisw 2.00 meta to commission. De sinithizw na dinw apo bf, alla epeidi den to vriskw allou kai epeidi dinei kai o vas van ekei, tha kanw mia eksairesi. Eksigisa kai pio panw, pistevw oti na mpei dekada aksizei kai arketa parapanw fortwma. Pio poli ton imiteliko fovamai giati den exei filikes xwres. Ston teliko pistevw na kanei diafora i fwni tis kai to gegonos oti oi epitropes tha prepei na deiksoun ligi sovarotita.
Rwssia na termatisei 9i-12i 4.75, 0.5 units sto 4.75, Bwin
To anevasan pali se aftin tin apodosi, tha to eksigisw alli fora.

Loipon as to eksigisw ligo afto twra pou exw xrono. Einai psilotragiko vevaia, alla iparxoun kai xeirotera tragoudia apo afto. An koitaksei kaneis apodoseis gia top-10 stin BF, einai kapou 11o-14o (diafora exoun poli kontines apodoseis). To tragoudi afto den kerdizei vevaia me tipote, alla edw mas endiaferoun pio poli oi apodoseis gia 10da, giati perilamvanoun mesa tin ipothesi oti tha arpaksei pontous apo geitones pou den tha to afisoun na pesei poli katw. Den exw kali apopsi gia to tragoudi vevaia, alla einai to eidos tou tragoudiou pou de tha metakinithei poli girw apo ti mesi prosdokomeni thesi tou, kata tin apopsi mou. Entaksei i bwin, to perimenei ligo parakatw, as poume mporei na to vgazei 14o kata meso oro, ki egw na to vgazw 12o, alla akoma kai an einai swsti i bwin sto pou einai pio pithano na kataliksei, mporei kai pali na einai value. An poume oti vgainei me klirwsi to ti thesi tha parei, tote i kathe thesi exei 1/25=4%, ara i tetrada 9o-12o exei 16%. Fisika afto de tha eftane gia na einai value to stoixima. Ela omws pou de mporei oles oi theseis na einai isopithanes. Px i prwti einai katw apo 1/100 na tin parei.
Mia pio normal katanomi gia mena, eidika gia afto to tragoudi, tha itan na peis oti an X einai i mesi thesi pou tha piasei, tote apo x-1 ws x+1 exei apo 6.5%. Meta x-2,x-3 kai x+2,x+3 exoun apo 6%. Meta x-4,x-5,x+4,x+5 exoun 5.5%. Kai meta peftei pio ragdaia oso pigaineis pros tin oura i pros tin korifi. Gia na einai value, prepei na exeis ligo panw apo 21% na katsei apo 9o-12o. Diladi 5.25% to noumero. Pistevw oti akoma kai an valoue mesi prosdokoumeni thesi ti 14i i ti 15i (afou to fav einai to 13o-16o, mia apo aftes tis dio theseis prepei na einai to 'X'), pali vgainei value to 9-12. Asfalws, mporei na exei akoma pio megali pithanotita poli konta sto X kai na peftei pio ragdaia apo oso egw ipologizw oso apomakrinomaste kai na mi vgainei value. Ela omws pou egw ti Rwssia outws i allws tin ipologizw kata meso oro kapou 11i-12i. Opote to enstikto mou leei, oti edw exei toulaxiston kapou 24% afti i tetrada, pou sto 4.75 dinei 14% value. Alla kai na min exei to 21%, logw tis fisis tis ipopsifiotitas aftis (adinamo tragoudi me polles simmaxikes xwres) de tha parekklinei toso poli apo to meso tou. Ara ante na einai 20% to groupaki kai na vgainei -5% value, afto nomizw einai to xeirotero senario. Kallista omws mporei na isxiei to kalitero kai na einai px 26% kai na einai 23.5% value. Kai akoma parapanw isws, giati an dei kaneis tis apodoseis gia to groupaki pou thewroun favori kai valei kai mia sevasti gkaniota, fainetai oti to groupaki pou einai pio pithano kata ti Bwin, exei kapou 30%. Me ena tetoio noumero to value anevainei se ena astronomiko 42.5%. Aksizei na riskarei kaneis loipon giati to downside einai mikro edw nomizw, enw to upside mporei na einai poli megalo.
Serbia to qualify 1.65 2 units sti Bwin.
Ekana skliri prospatheia na to postarw gia ligotero, alla pragmatika den iparxei logos. Apla to tragoudi einai frikiastiko. Alla tetoia karagkiozilikia apo tetoies xwres, mexri kai favori itan paliotera. An mou elegan na paiksw servia na prokrithei apo imiteliko se alli xronia 1.65, tha koitousa pote to tragoudi? Oxi, tha kratousa 5 euro gia kaltses kai tha paiza ta ipoloipa. Opote twra giati na min to paiksw? STON IMITELIKO DEN IPARXEI PSIFOS EPITROPIS. Diladi iparxei, alla mono gia na kathorisei to 'wild card', diladi ti xwra pou tha perasei pera apo tis 9 prwtes sto televoting. To psilotero score apo tis vathmologies twn epitropwn, gia xwra i opoia den prokrithike idi stis 9 apo tis psifous tou koinou, pairnei apla to wild card. Den einai diladi san ton teliko pou i epitropela paizei peripou 50% rolo. Entaksei twra, einai friki to tragoudi, alla exeis mesa Slovenia, Croatia, Ouggaria, Albania kai Slovakia. Xwria kati Rwssies (psifizei sto defteo imiteliko), Oukranies, Azerbaijan, Ellades klp pou isws kati psilakia na sou dwsoun. Opote kratas ti miti sou kai pontareis aftin tin arxipaparia na prokrithei. Proswpika to eixa paiksei pio psila sti BF, alla exei pesei kai ekei. Pio poli to kako to klima einai pou me kanei na to fovamai kapws. Diladi oti 'ti na kanoume twra pousties afou ston teliko tha exei epitropi etsi ki alliws?' pou isws apotharrinei kapoious na psifisoun. Alla an to deis psixra, akoma kai afti i apistefti paparia an katevaine me ti Servia pio palia, tha eixe 85% na perasei mesa sto nero. Poso poli na exei pesei twra me to idio sistima gia tous imitelikous? Na epese sto 70%? Sto 65%? Kai pali einai arketo...
Poia xwra tha termatisei psilotera apo tous Uk, France, Germany, Russia, Spain. Russia 7.65 0.2 units Bwin

Den einai oti trelainomai na valw alles 0.2 units se kati pou oute thewrw ipervolika isxiro, oute nomizw oti tha kerdisei. Apla einai para poli to value gia na to afisw. Opws eipa kai allou, to 'Mamo' einai mia paparia kamarwti. Alla gia na miliseis na kerdiseis aftin tin pentada, ksekinas apo tous 60 pontous fetos nomizw. Kai o nikitis isws ftasei kai arketa i poli psilotera. I Ispania einai apo ta favouri mou gia teleftaia olwn. Apla epeidi exei tin Andorra kai Portugal, fovithika na to paiksw 21-25, kakws opws apodeixthike. De nomizw oti exei praktika apolitws kamia elpida na parei tin pentada i Soraya. I Germania me apasxolei pio poli apo olous kai as dinei 15! I logiki leei oti paei gia na palepsei me Ispania gia to poios tha piasei pato apo tous 5. Kai malista thewreitai isxiro favori gia na patwsei teleiws genika. Ti fovamai ligo omws, giati to tragoudi tous einai diaforetiko. Den kserw an tha kavlwsei stis epitropeles na to stiriksoun isxira kai sigoura mporei na vrei ipostiriksi kai apo to koino se kapoia meri an ti dei to koino perierga. Epipleon tha einai sti skini kai mia mounara, I Dita Von Tesse, afti kapoion gnwsto paizei na gamouse palia, nomizw ton Manson (oxi to serial killer re). Alla ok, as vgei deftero pisw apo Germania kai tha goustarw kai as xasw to bet. Apla de ginontai afta omws, einai poli xlwmo. Gia mena to xlwmotero olwn einai na kerdisei tin 5ada i Soraya, kai as exei kai mia kavantza me filikes psifous, i Germania exei mia pithanotita miki gia ekpliksi, an kai dent o vlepw oute egw oute i agora. Kai pame stis 2 favores. I gallia legetai oti exei poli sophisticated song kai oti oi epitropes paizei na to stiriksoun agriws. Den apokleietai. Alla epitelous poion ston poutso tha prwtostiriksoun kai aftes oi gamioles oi epitropes? Diladi exeis ti Norvigia i opoia ipotithetai tha gamisei kai tha deirei me tis epitropes, sarwnontas ta 12ria (katholou apithano). Exeis ti Malta i opoia de mporei na mi grapsei ligo me tis fwni. Exeis tin Islandia, i opoia einai to mono stoixima pou metaniwsa pou den ekana, oxi toso gia na to parei (paizei kai afto) alla se enan omilo ekei pou eixe sti Bwin. Sto tsak to xasa. Kati de tha tsimpisei kai kanena Israel apo epitropes? Pantws an iksera oti tha sinexizei na vriskei tosi antapokrisi stin agora i Gallia tha eixa surebetiasei to Russia vs France pou eixe ftasei kai sto 2.50 meta i Gallia. Twra einai pali favori i Francesa. Tespa, die with your own ideas, katholou simmaxoi kai mono epitropes pithanotata, de vlepw na pairnei afto tin 5ada, an kai aneta vlepw na pernaei ti Rwssia an den traviksei katholou i Russia. Apla gia to sigkekrimeno bet, prepei anyway na ipothesw oti tha piasei mia 55ara-60ra i Malamo, alliws dene xei chance anyway. Kai menei i Jade apo to UK. Afti nomizw kai egw oti prepei na einai to favori tis 5adas. Alla oxi kai 1.65. Gia tous idious logous me Gallia. Exoun perasei oles oi skandinavikes, ara de mporei na mi moirastoun ligo oi psifoi ekei mesa. Afto den paizei toso rolo gia Norway pou isws einai to runaway train se afto to diagwnismo. Paizei omws gia kati Agglies pou, ok na paroun 12 apo Iceland(paizei, alla den einai sigouro ep'oudeni), na paroun 12 apo Ireland, pou allou tha perimenoun xontres psifous? I apantisi einai stous skandinavous. Oi opoio tha soutaroun 12ria stin Norway px, alla kati 10ria kai 8ria tha prepei na ta perimenei apo ekei to uk gia na pei oti paei poli psila. Me olous perasmenous einai diskolo na ta parei. I Dania (pou skeftomai na tin paiksw na apokleistei avrio) dinei 1.45 peripou na perasei. An perasei kai afti tha exoume Dania, Norvigia, Iceland, Sweden kai Finland. Kai apo afta i Norvigia kai i Iceland einai dedomeno oti tha stoxepsoun kai tha paroun pontous pou aneta tha kateligan sto nisi. Se ena vathmo afto paizei kai me ti Malta. Akoma omws kai i Swedia px mporei na kanei ligi zimia, an klepsei to 12ri pou tha dwsei i Norway, kai meinei i Uk me 10 i 8. Akoma kai i Finland einai poli pithano na kanei zimia pairnontas akoma kai 12ri apo Iceland, kai na meinei me 10 i ligotera to UK. Apo ekei kai epeita, diafores epitropes se pio koufa meri, pou kati tha eixan na dwsoun se mia alli xronia gia ti Jade, tha prepei twra na perasoun panw apo Iceland (pou einai idio styl alla poli kalitero kai sou menei poli perissotero) kai apo Chiara pou episis moiazei sto ti koino tha traviksei. Vale kai kamia Gallia na klevei tipote psila apo epitropes. Kai ola afta, ti stigmi pou ta 12ria twn epitropwn mporei aneta na ta exei idi parei ep'wmou o Rybak tis Norvigias.

Simperasmatika, de nomizw oti tha vgei, alla to 7.65 einai poli psilo. Ena pithano senario einai na perasei ti Rwssia to uk, me tis psifous pou tha dwsoun oi idioi oi Rwssoi! Giati einai to styl twn Anatolikoeurwpaiwn tetoio pou mporei akoma kai oi epitropes tous na thewrisoun kalitero to tragoudi mias pou vgike apo reality, para antistoixou styl apo Iceland px. Exoun to kits mesa tous.
Ante den kratithika, tha paiksw kai 0.5 units sto 5.9 tis Iceland gia top-4 sti BF. An kerdisei, tha afairesw to commission.

Vasika einai in a way 'kalipsi' gia ti Malta. Moiazoun kapws ws pros to ti koino tha traviksoun,opote ok, an einai na mpei to ena apo ta dio, na paroume kati. Genika pantws mou exei anaptixthei ena poli kako feeling gia Eurovision, fovamai katastrofiko Savvato...

Thelei kai ligo Dania na min prokrithei 0.4 units sto 3.42 tis Pinbet.

Tha prorithei logika, giati panta iparxei kai to wildcard, alla apo simmaxous iparxei mono i Norvigia. Den ksexwrizei to song tis, an kai kako den einai. Poli psilo to 3.42 omws me tosous valkanious kai allous tosous anatolikous.